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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Charrière v Miranda Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus17 picks · conf 39/99
Charrière 16
1 Miranda
JMMSLC pick Charrière
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Charrière 20-10-1 VS 17-7 Miranda
5'8" height 5'11"
146 lb weight 145 lb
69" reach 71"
30 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 2.8
51% striking accuracy 40%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 5.3
57% striking defence 37%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 3.9
57% takedown accuracy 33%
83% takedown defence 0%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LM Leftlane MMA picks Gabriel Miranda “I picked Jette to win a close decision”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Morgan Charrière VALUE “go with Morgan Charrière”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Morgan Charrière “I'm going to go with Morgan Charrière on this one knock him out too”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Morgan Charrière “my subscribers and I went with Moran cherer” $1.18
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Morgan Charrière VALUE “I'm going with Morgan Charrière”
PR Premium-Picks picks Morgan Charrière “give me more in sherier” $1.14
WP We Want Picks picks Morgan Charrière VALUE “Morgan Charrière is the pick”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Morgan Charrière “I'm GNA take Morgan Charrière here think Morgan Charrière should favorite here... give me Morgan Charrière here”
MA MMA Attic picks Morgan Charrière VALUE “the model while close still leans favorably towards cherer” $1.14
DC Dodson's Corner picks Morgan Charrière “you have to go with the French fire here Morgan Charrière you got to have if you motions ratou he's a minus 700 favorite yeah sorry sorry mustache bro easy pick” $1.14
FI FightOwl picks Gabriel Miranda “I'm going Gabriel Miranda”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Morgan Charrière “it's Morgan Charrière he's William Gomising to win he's William Gomising to be Gabriel Miranda”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Charrière20-10-1
L Costa KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Landwehr KO/TKO · R3 Jul '25
L Wood Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Miranda KO/TKO · R2 Sep '24
L Mariscal Decision · R3 Apr '24
Miranda17-7
L Emmers KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Charrière KO/TKO · R2 Sep '24
W Young Submission · R1 Sep '23
L Denis KO/TKO · R2 Sep '22