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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Sabatini v Pearce Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus35 picks · conf 58/99
Sabatini 10
25 Pearce
MNCTMK pick Sabatini
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Sabatini 21-5 VS 14-7 Pearce
5'8" height 6'0"
146 lb weight 145 lb
70" reach 71"
35 age 34
Orthodox stance Switch
1.9 strikes landed / min 5.1
59% striking accuracy 54%
1.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
48% striking defence 54%
4.0 takedowns / 15 min 5.0
44% takedown accuracy 50%
50% takedown defence 55%
2.0 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MP Mike's MMA Picks picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “give me the underdog Pat Pat Sabatini here I like the matchup for him”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “I'm taking Jonathan Pearce”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jonathan Pearce “My subscribers and I went with Jonathan Pearce um Jonathan Pearce is the favorite at minus 135” $1.74
WB Willis Bermingham picks Jonathan Pearce “I'm going to have Jonathan Pearce in this one uh money line says he's going to win”
MM MMAPlaya picks Pat Sabatini “I think timir is going to gas and verar will find will get his way to a win”
EC Ethan Caissie picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “I'll go with Jonathan Pearce”
WP We Want Picks picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “I personally think Jonathan Pearce wins this fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jonathan Pearce “I'm GNA pick Jonathan Pearce” $1.54
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “I'm gonna go with Pat sabatini” $2.59
WR Wise Rise picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “I like in this match up here to get the takedowns I believe his Pace will be too much” $1.74
LM Live Dogs MMA picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “I'm going to go with Pat seti he might be my most confident dog so far um tomorrow you got guys know parlays I'll have everything out I'm really leaning a live dog for Pat subi here”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Jonathan Pearce “look for a pierce to keep keep this fight upright push a pace on sabatini eventually break him and finish him in the second or third round”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Sabatini21-5
W Gomis Decision · R3 May '26
W Mariscal Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Brito Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Pearce Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Lopes KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
Pearce14-7
L Sabatini Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Onama Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Brito Submission · R2 Nov '23
W Elkins Decision · R3 Dec '22
W Amirkhani KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22