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Jun-yong vs TavaresMain Card · Middleweight
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Njokuani vs GoodenMain Card · Catchweight
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Dawson vs GarcíaMain Card · Lightweight
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Rodriguez vs MoronoMain Card · Welterweight
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Temirov vs VergaraPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Sabatini vs PearcePreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Gorimbo vs PricePreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Tafa vs SharafPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Polastri vs McKennaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Haddon vs ArguetaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rodriguez v Morono
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rodriguez 18-5
VS
24-12 Morono
6'1"
height
5'11"
170 lb
weight
171 lb
74"
reach
72"
39
age
35
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
7.5
strikes landed / min
5.0
49%
striking accuracy
40%
5.5
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
58%
striking defence
57%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
54%
takedown accuracy
25%
57%
takedown defence
47%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I think run guys is going to get a knockout here ... Daniel Rodriguez is going to be the pick”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Daniel Rodriguez
“my subscribers and I went with um Daniel Rodriguez um Daniel Rodriguez is the favorite at minus 205”
$1.49
MM
MMAPlaya picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I think dinner is going to win that fight”
CC
Chronic Combat Conversations picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“give me the uh Daniel Rodriguez Grant Daws and parlay”
$1.42
EC
Ethan Caissie picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I definitely think Daniel Rodriguez is going to take this one”
$1.50
WP
We Want Picks picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm going to pick Daniel Rodriguez”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm going with the dog in this one I'm going with Daniel Rodriguez”
$2.55
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Alex Morono VALUE
“gim me Cody Haddon I think the kid is able to out strike uh Daniel Rodriguez”
$1.56
WR
Wise Rise picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“I'm going with Daniel Rodriguez as I think that this fight stays on the feet”
$1.49
LM
Live Dogs MMA picks Alex Morono
“so I will take Rodriguez”
LM
Livid Larry MMA picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I think Daniel Rodriguez gets the win over Alex Morono”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I think Rodriguez will do a good job in terms of walking morono down Landing his big strikes and winning this fight on the scorecards”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rodriguez18-5
W
Holland
Jul '25
W
Ponzinibbio
May '25
W
Morono
Oct '24
L
Gastelum
Jun '24
L
Garry
May '23
Morono24-12
L
Donchenko
Feb '26
L
Leal
Mar '25
L
Rodriguez
Oct '24
L
Price
Jun '24
W
McGee
Apr '24