Choose a fight to analyse
IM
RM
Makhachev vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight
MD
UN
Dvalishvili vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight
JP
JH
Procházka vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JA
SS
Almeida vs SpivacMain Card · Heavyweight
RR
KH
Ridder vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
RB
PT
Barcelos vs TalbottPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AB
ZR
Bekoev vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight
BG
BE
Guskov vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
GD
CF
Dawson vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Lightweight
AP
KR
Pérez vs RosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MG
RN
Gafurov vs NakamuraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BS
RT
Sopaj vs TurciosEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
TU
CC
Ulanbekov vs CarpenterEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
RM
Makhachev vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight
MD
UN
Dvalishvili vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight
JP
JH
Procházka vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JA
SS
Almeida vs SpivacMain Card · Heavyweight
RR
KH
Ridder vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
RB
PT
Barcelos vs TalbottPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AB
ZR
Bekoev vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight
BG
BE
Guskov vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
GD
CF
Dawson vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Lightweight
AP
KR
Pérez vs RosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MG
RN
Gafurov vs NakamuraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BS
RT
Sopaj vs TurciosEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
TU
CC
Ulanbekov vs CarpenterEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Dvalishvili v Nurmagomedov
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Dvalishvili 21-4
VS
19-1 Nurmagomedov
5'6"
height
5'8"
135 lb
weight
136 lb
68"
reach
69"
35
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.3
strikes landed / min
4.5
39%
striking accuracy
63%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
1.4
60%
striking defence
63%
8.2
takedowns / 15 min
4.0
47%
takedown accuracy
50%
76%
takedown defence
100%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GP
Greedo Plays picks Merab Dvalishvili
“shout out Merab Dvalishvili Merab Dvalishvili”
Greedo Plays picks Merab Dvalishvili
“shout out Merab Dvalishvili Merab Dvalishvili”
CC
Combat Sports Central picks Merab Dvalishvili
“I have Merab Dvalishvili to win at plus 230 half a unit on score bet”
$3.30
Combat Sports Central picks Merab Dvalishvili
“I have Merab Dvalishvili to win at plus 230 half a unit on score bet”
$3.30
CC
Combat Sports Central picks Merab Dvalishvili
“so I decided to go with Merab Dvalishvili”
Combat Sports Central picks Merab Dvalishvili
“so I decided to go with Merab Dvalishvili”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“I do believe that Umar Nurmagomedov can compete in the grappling he's going to be way faster he's going to be a way better Striker and I think it's just gonna be too much from a NOT_IN_ROSTER_7”
$1.39
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“I do believe that Umar Nurmagomedov can compete in the grappling he's going to be way faster he's going to be a way better Striker and I think it's just gonna be too much from a NOT_IN_ROSTER_7”
$1.39
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“my pick is Umar Nurmagomedov NOT_IN_ROSTER_26 medov in a in a big big way here”
$1.39
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“my pick is Umar Nurmagomedov NOT_IN_ROSTER_26 medov in a in a big big way here”
$1.39
MD
mdminds picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“Umar gets it done TKO”
mdminds picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“Umar gets it done TKO”
BA
babysharpMMA🦈 picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“I like Merab Dvalishvili here dude I just I think for Merab Dvalishvili to lose he's literally got to be killed”
babysharpMMA🦈 picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“I like Merab Dvalishvili here dude I just I think for Merab Dvalishvili to lose he's literally got to be killed”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I'm picking Umar Nurmagomedov by decision at minus 105”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I'm picking Umar Nurmagomedov by decision at minus 105”
HP
High Low Sports Podcast picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“we're going to take morab on this one we're we're going to definitely hit that plus five and a half but plus 220 as well”
High Low Sports Podcast picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“we're going to take morab on this one we're we're going to definitely hit that plus five and a half but plus 220 as well”
GB
Gilbert Burns picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I do believe he has a chance I do believe he has a crazy chance you know why because when I look at his past fights if you think about it his last opponent was Ben was in France Ben was is a southa and he can grapple and if you go back a little bit with jayen Turner EVENT_DETAILS he killed jayen Turner and then before that Drew dobert Southpaw if we come back a little bit more RDA Southpaw five rounds short notice before that Alexander Hernandez Southpaw before Alexander hernandz Jay Herbert South Southpaw as well so MO is being ready bro and another thing too you saw Dustin por the diam he just post not long ago that he was there helping Umar Nurmagomedov Dustin was the last guy that fought Islam Makhachev so I think everything is align to this guy to go out there and show up and he Islam Makhachev is another high level too so I think Umar Nurmagomedov has a chance”
Gilbert Burns picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I do believe he has a chance I do believe he has a crazy chance you know why because when I look at his past fights if you think about it his last opponent was Ben was in France Ben was is a southa and he can grapple and if you go back a little bit with jayen Turner EVENT_DETAILS he killed jayen Turner and then before that Drew dobert Southpaw if we come back a little bit more RDA Southpaw five rounds short notice before that Alexander Hernandez Southpaw before Alexander hernandz Jay Herbert South Southpaw as well so MO is being ready bro and another thing too you saw Dustin por the diam he just post not long ago that he was there helping Umar Nurmagomedov Dustin was the last guy that fought Islam Makhachev so I think everything is align to this guy to go out there and show up and he Islam Makhachev is another high level too so I think Umar Nurmagomedov has a chance”
JG
Joe Giannetti picks Merab Dvalishvili
“we've got Merab Dvalishvili plus 220 versus Umar Nurmagomedov”
$3.20
Joe Giannetti picks Merab Dvalishvili
“we've got Merab Dvalishvili plus 220 versus Umar Nurmagomedov”
$3.20
TF
The Bluest Fox picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“Me inclino un poco más hacia Umar Nurmagomedov”
The Bluest Fox picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“Me inclino un poco más hacia Umar Nurmagomedov”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Dvalishvili21-4
L
Yan
Dec '25
W
Sandhagen
Oct '25
W
O'Malley
Jun '25
W
Nurmagomedov
Jan '25
W
O'Malley
Sep '24
Nurmagomedov19-1
W
Figueiredo
Jan '26
W
Bautista
Oct '25
L
Dvalishvili
Jan '25
W
Sandhagen
Aug '24
W
Almakhan
Mar '24