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Makhachev vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight
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Dvalishvili vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight
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Procházka vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Almeida vs SpivacMain Card · Heavyweight
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Ridder vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
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Barcelos vs TalbottPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Bekoev vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Dawson vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Pérez vs RosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Gafurov vs NakamuraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Sopaj vs TurciosEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Ulanbekov vs CarpenterEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
RM
Makhachev vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight
MD
UN
Dvalishvili vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight
JP
JH
Procházka vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JA
SS
Almeida vs SpivacMain Card · Heavyweight
RR
KH
Ridder vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
RB
PT
Barcelos vs TalbottPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AB
ZR
Bekoev vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight
BG
BE
Guskov vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
GD
CF
Dawson vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Lightweight
AP
KR
Pérez vs RosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MG
RN
Gafurov vs NakamuraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BS
RT
Sopaj vs TurciosEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
TU
CC
Ulanbekov vs CarpenterEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Makhachev v Moicano
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Makhachev 27-1
VS
20-7-1 Moicano
5'10"
height
5'11"
170 lb
weight
155 lb
70"
reach
72"
34
age
37
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.4
strikes landed / min
4.4
49%
striking accuracy
49%
1.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.6
66%
striking defence
60%
3.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
49%
takedown accuracy
44%
90%
takedown defence
72%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CC
Combat Sports Central picks Islam Makhachev
“I'm picking Islam Makhachev to win this fight”
Combat Sports Central picks Islam Makhachev
“I'm picking Islam Makhachev to win this fight”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“there's no way of picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 here at 8700 we we were trying to guess before the show what is the ownership out even GNA be could it be as low as five to 10% like so stuff we've never seen before in the main event fighter it's it's it's it's potentially uh that way and I I don't see how you it can't be I think M uh I think Islam Makhachev has got to be the play here”
$1.07
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“there's no way of picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 here at 8700 we we were trying to guess before the show what is the ownership out even GNA be could it be as low as five to 10% like so stuff we've never seen before in the main event fighter it's it's it's it's potentially uh that way and I I don't see how you it can't be I think M uh I think Islam Makhachev has got to be the play here”
$1.07
MD
mdminds picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
mdminds picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Islam Makhachev
“I'm thinking Islam Makhachev submission under two and a half rounds”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Islam Makhachev
“I'm thinking Islam Makhachev submission under two and a half rounds”
DR
DRYWALL picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“I have Islam Makhachev knocks him out sadly”
DRYWALL picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“I have Islam Makhachev knocks him out sadly”
DR
DRYWALL picks Renato Moicano VALUE
“I think that Renato Moicano gets the decision”
DRYWALL picks Renato Moicano VALUE
“I think that Renato Moicano gets the decision”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“taking the fight to Islam Makhachev inside the distance is the BET”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“taking the fight to Islam Makhachev inside the distance is the BET”
RR
Ring Rivalry picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
Ring Rivalry picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
FF
Fight Game Fame picks Islam Makhachev
“realistically I'm 100% for sure taking Islam Makhachev Makhachev in this fight”
Fight Game Fame picks Islam Makhachev
“realistically I'm 100% for sure taking Islam Makhachev Makhachev in this fight”
HP
High Low Sports Podcast picks Islam Makhachev
“we're taking Islam Makhachev Islam Makhachev to win this one”
High Low Sports Podcast picks Islam Makhachev
“we're taking Islam Makhachev Islam Makhachev to win this one”
P2
Picks with the Geek 2 picks Renato Moicano
“my official pick is fanfueled optimism for Renato Moicano Renato Moicano to shock the world”
$7.80
Picks with the Geek 2 picks Renato Moicano
“my official pick is fanfueled optimism for Renato Moicano Renato Moicano to shock the world”
$7.80
P2
Picks with the Geek 2 picks Islam Makhachev
“this is Islam's fight to lose he's too well-rounded too disciplined and too Relentless unless Renato Moicano has some secret dagestani Kryptonite it's hard to see him pulling this off”
$1.08
Picks with the Geek 2 picks Islam Makhachev
“this is Islam's fight to lose he's too well-rounded too disciplined and too Relentless unless Renato Moicano has some secret dagestani Kryptonite it's hard to see him pulling this off”
$1.08
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Makhachev27-1
W
Maddalena
Nov '25
W
Moicano
Jan '25
W
Poirier
Jun '24
W
Volkanovski
Oct '23
W
Volkanovski
Feb '23
Moicano20-7-1
W
Duncan
Apr '26
L
Dariush
Jun '25
L
Makhachev
Jan '25
W
Denis
Sep '24
W
Turner
Apr '24