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UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Zalal v Kattar Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus73 picks · conf 76/99
Zalal 51
22 Kattar
TBBLNG pick Zalal
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Zalal 18-5-1 VS 23-8 Kattar
5'10" height 5'11"
146 lb weight 146 lb
72" reach 72"
29 age 38
Switch stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 4.8
61% striking accuracy 39%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 6.8
51% striking defence 54%
2.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
38% takedown accuracy 29%
88% takedown defence 72%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Youssef Zalal VALUE “Youssef Zalal NOT_IN_ROSTER_20 since coming back in this second run the UFC has very much impressed me so because this guy he's you can tell like he that [__] genuinely pissed him off when he got cut so he like he just [__] overall like upgraded himself”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Youssef Zalal VALUE $1.21
TD The Rambling Dad picks Calvin Kattar VALUE $1.21
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Youssef Zalal “my subscribers and I went with Yousef zalal” $1.20
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Calvin Kattar “I'm going to say she gets a pretty clean win so jacalene kukan for the W” $1.14
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Youssef Zalal “my pick has been Youssef Zalal all week” $1.19
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Youssef Zalal VALUE “I'm going to lean with Valter WalCalvin Kattar here and I do believe he is chalkworthy in this fight” $1.43
AM AA MMA picks Youssef Zalal “I got to go with you s I think he's just faster younger more like ready”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Calvin Kattar VALUE “we have Calvin Kattarvin Kattar two units at plus 355” $4.55
SM Script MMA picks Youssef Zalal VALUE “yousef's zow yousef's zow he's on a 65 win streak he got cut by the UFC cuz he wasn't that good or whatever he was like if he came back has been undefeated ever since he's looking sharp he's a good solid first leg of this fight and he's versus Calvin Calvin Kattar cadar Calvin Calvin Kattar Calvin Kattar he's a so so fighter consistent three fight losing stre inconsistent three fight losing streak although he did fight really good comp youf zah has the momentum to push him to win this fight right now”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Calvin Kattar “and your featherweight event the number 10 Calvin Kattar light work let's go”
DR DRYWALL picks Youssef Zalal VALUE “Yousef uh went and got NOT_IN_ROSTER_20 input into his brain and completely just remade himself as a fighter has come back to the UFC and is on a three fight win streak I think three absolutely convincing wins two of them by decision or no all three by uh by finishes I wasant to say finishes yeah man not and and right NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 is a jack sh is an idiot like NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 shouldn't be in the U see um no not an idiot he's he's a wonderful man he's a wonderful man and I'm sure that if he ever needed anything from drywall we would we help him out just like we do with all the other Fighters I just don't think he's UFC level I think that he'd be a great coach and however yarno and NOT_IN_ROSTER_22 those were solid wins that USF really Yousef made quick work out of them and NOT_IN_ROSTER_22 like I think he actually has started the downfall of NOT_IN_ROSTER_22 like I think Yousef was the first one to break him and so this news a this news alal that that just is like a savant on the ground is really it he's really exciting and it's definitely the Kryptonite of Calvin cadar it's kind of messed up that the UFC I mean I get it because I think that this gym that Calvin Kar comes out of um they're all just bunch of Strikers I think it's like font him uh some other guys uh and they're all just Strikers and they're so bad on the ground I think that this is just the UFC continuing to just heat check that that their their abilities in that realm and so I I like Youssef Zalal I think Youssef Zalal decisions let's say decisions just because I like the guy and that I need to be out here absolutely putting my stink on him just been in a blender this year just been in a blender since the beginning of the year not seeing the crystal ball as clearly but you know they don't pay me to be right they they pay me to take over like simple as that so I do like Youssef Zalal I think he he's able to keep Kar on the ground overwhelm him and he doesn't have I don't he's a great kickboxer uh so I think that it is a law I would say Youssef Zalal is probably a minus 200us 4 70 that is steep man some of these lines are really really like lopsided I mean yeah Youssef Zalal's the pick but do you want to actually put down minus 470 interesting by minus five and a half that also tells you something they really think he's going to smudge it's just going to smudge him dude but yeah I think that that is what happens I think it's a little bloated the line but it makes sense all right let's finish off Jared the killer NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 caner taking on Gregory NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 Rodriguez this needs no explanation this doesn't need anybody to say anything about it that's all you need that's all you know he's tougher he's stronger he's at that point in his career he's bigger bigger is better trust me I mean I'm not and I and and that being said I Jared Cannonier is still a dog Jared Cannonier can I mean this is why they're matching him up with Gregory they want to test his medal but he is coming off of he's coming off some losses some might say that that imov stoage was a little early but I don't think it was I think he was out he was out on his feet but this guy he re you know he can still put it on and he can still find the chin of guys that it's hard to find their chin and NOT_IN_ROSTER_25 and tough guys like NOT_IN_ROSTER_26 so this is not I'm not saying this is the end to Jared koner he is 40 years old though and and I think it could be the beginning of the end it's not the end but I think it's the beginning of the end because this is this is a matchup that is giving this is not giving anybody any upper like any treats like this is not a hey Jared thanks for everything you've done for us buddy this is a hey I think it might be time to take you out back I think it's a tough fight I me know I don't I say that I think he knocks him out in the first round but I think that it's going to be like it's going to be a a fast exciting intense fight where I think even Jared has moments of of success but Gregory is undeniable I mean this is my this is my black horse my my dark horse in the in the middleweight division like I just think he's he's and his Bas is BJJ this is a world class like BJJ player like a top level he's w World Championships so maybe he even Taps them I don't know uh I am going to go with Gregory Rodrigues NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 license and registration please and there you have it actually let's look at the line before we tune out am I right yes I'm right minus 225 Rodriguez makes sense makes sense and they want that under two and a half right so makes sense what I'm saying here and there we have it we're back in Vegas back Where We Belong the grimy fight nights with the plebians with the plebs and as always dry NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 it was a pleasure like comment subscribe show show us uh put put put in there who you guys think is going to win I need to need to upload as a reminder as a reminder be on the lookout for some Seattle UFC Seattle videos little miniseries that we're going to do previewing that it's coming up in the next week or so it's going to be it's going to be really exciting a lot of great names on that card but yeah as always dry NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 I'm Dan Delight happy to have you it's gonna be a great fight night you know what they you know what they say I don't need your love I just need your heart”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Zalal18-5-1
L Sterling Decision · R5 Apr '26
W Emmett Submission · R1 Oct '25
W Kattar Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Shore Submission · R2 Nov '24
W Errens Submission · R1 Aug '24
Kattar23-8
L Garcia Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Zalal Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Sterling Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Allen KO/TKO · R2 Oct '22
L Emmett Decision · R5 Jun '22