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UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Leal v Morono Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus63 picks · conf 73/99
Leal 50
13 Morono
TPTETK pick Leal
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Leal 21-6 VS 24-12 Morono
5'11" height 5'11"
170 lb weight 171 lb
74" reach 72"
32 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
7.1 strikes landed / min 5.0
43% striking accuracy 40%
7.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
50% striking defence 57%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
25% takedown accuracy 25%
89% takedown defence 47%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Carlos Leal VALUE “I'm picking Carlos Leal”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Carlos Leal “Carlos Carlos Lealeal versus Alex Magomed Ankalaevorono going with Carlos Leal to win”
CM Cyclone MMA picks Carlos Leal VALUE “I'm taking Carlos Leal um anyone who can take fenov into deep Waters like that I like their chances”
PA PattyMMA picks Carlos Leal “I'm going for for Carlos Leal in this fight Carlos Lealos uh”
JO JorgeFlyingKnee picks Carlos Leal “I think it's going to be an easy win for Carlos Leal... I think this one's going to be another decision to be honest”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Carlos Leal VALUE “I'm picking Carlos Leal Le all day I think most people will”
WP We Want Picks picks Carlos Leal “if I have to just pick a winner odds and DraftKings pricing aside I'm going to pick Le all” $1.12
LE Lepresident picks Carlos Leal “I have gone with caros steel”
BP Bloody Water Podcast picks Alex Morono VALUE “Alex Morono money line dog line plus 575”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Alex Morono VALUE “I think Alex Morono is tough he'll make it to they'll make it to the third round before he gets knocked out”
JU JussJustin picks Carlos Leal “I'm going to go I'm going go with Carlos Carlos Lealeal Carlos Lealeal”
JU JussJustin picks Alex Morono “the reason I choose Alex Morono Pereira to win his fight is because I am hopeful tRafael Brunno Ferreiraizievt he wins man”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Leal21-6
W Njokuani Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Morono KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Fakhretdinov Decision · R3 Oct '24
Morono24-12
L Donchenko Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Leal KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Price Decision · R3 Jun '24
W McGee Decision · R3 Apr '24