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Ankalaev vs PereiraMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Ankalaev vs PereiraMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JG
RF
Gaethje vs FizievMain Card · Lightweight
IB
JT
Bahamondes vs TurnerMain Card · Lightweight
AL
IL
Lemos vs LucindoMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
MR
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Ruffy vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
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Van vs TsuruyaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Ferreira vs PetrosyanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ankalaev v Pereira
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ankalaev 21-2-1
VS
13-3 Pereira
6'3"
height
6'4"
204 lb
weight
251 lb
75"
reach
79"
34
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.1
strikes landed / min
5.5
65%
striking accuracy
54%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
54%
striking defence
61%
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.1
35%
takedown accuracy
0%
84%
takedown defence
92%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
BG
Bradley Gleason picks Alex Pereira
“Alex Pereira by knockout I gotta [__] ride the guy I got no fatigue over here I'm riding high with Alex Pereira”
Bradley Gleason picks Alex Pereira
“Alex Pereira by knockout I gotta [__] ride the guy I got no fatigue over here I'm riding high with Alex Pereira”
BG
Bradley Gleason picks Magomed Ankalaev
“my pick for this fight is over two and a half rounds Magomed Ankalaev by decision”
Bradley Gleason picks Magomed Ankalaev
“my pick for this fight is over two and a half rounds Magomed Ankalaev by decision”
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I can see like an choosing like real to strle initially to prove the world that he could be parade and stand up battle could be... Al Pera take it down and control by four rounds by finding one good punch to put on way ank the last round”
Capitán Rafucho picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I can see like an choosing like real to strle initially to prove the world that he could be parade and stand up battle could be... Al Pera take it down and control by four rounds by finding one good punch to put on way ank the last round”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Alex Pereira
“Alex Pereira money line”
Greedo Plays picks Alex Pereira
“Alex Pereira money line”
MD
mdminds picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“if he wins tonight, like he has been winning... he should be the pound-for-pound UFC champion of the world.”
mdminds picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“if he wins tonight, like he has been winning... he should be the pound-for-pound UFC champion of the world.”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Magomed Ankalaev
“I'm gonna pick Magomed Ankalaev on tapology ... I'm gonna pick him”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Magomed Ankalaev
“I'm gonna pick Magomed Ankalaev on tapology ... I'm gonna pick him”
KU
Kunath picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“Magomed Ankalaev definitely has to be in value play consideration this week because he's in the main event because he has five rounds to work because he's probably going to need to wrestle here to have success and during the predictions video I think I phrased something poorly I said that he's going to struggle on the feet or at least I was trying to say that he's probably going to struggle on the feet if he can't get takedowns not that he struggled in the past on the feet he's one of the better Strikers in the division but he's going against the best striker in the division and it's it's very clear now after he's beaten khil rry Jamal Hill Yuri prasa the only other guy that is at 205 right now that might give him a run for his money on the feet would be like Carlos Leal so I don't want you to think that I think this guy's got nothing on the feet because he obviously does but if he wants to win I think he's going to need to Grapple I think he's going to need to secure at least three takedowns this week a lot of control time as well and down at his price at 7900 with the five rounds to work definitely have to be in the value play consideration you're running single entry I wouldn't recommend it but hey if you like the maged ankle ey of side then you're going to play it anyway and picking him to win”
Kunath picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“Magomed Ankalaev definitely has to be in value play consideration this week because he's in the main event because he has five rounds to work because he's probably going to need to wrestle here to have success and during the predictions video I think I phrased something poorly I said that he's going to struggle on the feet or at least I was trying to say that he's probably going to struggle on the feet if he can't get takedowns not that he struggled in the past on the feet he's one of the better Strikers in the division but he's going against the best striker in the division and it's it's very clear now after he's beaten khil rry Jamal Hill Yuri prasa the only other guy that is at 205 right now that might give him a run for his money on the feet would be like Carlos Leal so I don't want you to think that I think this guy's got nothing on the feet because he obviously does but if he wants to win I think he's going to need to Grapple I think he's going to need to secure at least three takedowns this week a lot of control time as well and down at his price at 7900 with the five rounds to work definitely have to be in the value play consideration you're running single entry I wouldn't recommend it but hey if you like the maged ankle ey of side then you're going to play it anyway and picking him to win”
KU
Kunath picks Alex Pereira
“I'm going to go with Alex Pereira 8300 and we'll start building around that”
Kunath picks Alex Pereira
“I'm going to go with Alex Pereira 8300 and we'll start building around that”
DO
DODDIsZ picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“I'd favor Magomed Ankalaev”
DODDIsZ picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“I'd favor Magomed Ankalaev”
DO
DODDIsZ picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“you have said with your hard eared money that pierra is going to win this fight”
DODDIsZ picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“you have said with your hard eared money that pierra is going to win this fight”
FM
FACT MMA picks Magomed Ankalaev
“Jef mengatakan angka life adalah favorit tapi tipis saya pikir angka Life harus sangat berhati-hati dan tidak meremehkan perira meskipun kita tahu perira lebih fokus pada striking maka chef mengingatkan bahwa Magomed Ankalaevif harus memanfaatkan keunggulan graplingnya”
FACT MMA picks Magomed Ankalaev
“Jef mengatakan angka life adalah favorit tapi tipis saya pikir angka Life harus sangat berhati-hati dan tidak meremehkan perira meskipun kita tahu perira lebih fokus pada striking maka chef mengingatkan bahwa Magomed Ankalaevif harus memanfaatkan keunggulan graplingnya”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ankalaev21-2-1
L
Pereira
Oct '25
W
Pereira
Mar '25
W
Rakić
Oct '24
W
Walker
Jan '24
W
Smith
Jul '22
Pereira13-3
L
Gane
Jun '26
W
Ankalaev
Oct '25
L
Ankalaev
Mar '25
W
Rountree Jr.
Oct '24
W
Procházka
Jun '24