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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Abdelwahab v Usman Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus44 picks · conf 65/99
Abdelwahab 28
16 Usman
BHLTDL pick Abdelwahab
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Abdelwahab 5-0 VS 12-4 Usman
6'2" height 6'2"
264 lb weight 244 lb
72" reach 79"
33 age 37
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 3.9
52% striking accuracy 44%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
59% striking defence 57%
3.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.5
75% takedown accuracy 66%
0% takedown defence 61%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 2.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Mohammed Usman VALUE “I'm picking Muhammad Usman to get this done by knockout probably in the first or second round.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Mohammed Usman “I'm going to take the dog here against Hamdy Abdelwahab... I'm taking the underdog.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “I'm gonna pick him by decision kind of.”
SH Showtime50k picks Mohammed Usman “I'm going to go Mohammed Usman for this one.”
TA TakeDownTalks picks Hamdy Abdelwahab VALUE “I think Hamdy Abdelwahab will get the decision.”
WM Windy City MMA picks Mohammed Usman VALUE “I don't know who the who the matchmaker is cuz these guys do not finish anybody... I was going through them... I had Mohammed Usuzman... He's very large. Has a long reach... So, if he gets him to the ground, then I guess Hami does get the W.”
KP Knockout Picks picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “I'm going to lean Hamdah Hab to get it done on the cards.”
BM BXG MMA picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “I'm going to go with Hamdi Abdullah Wahad.”
AM ANCHOR MMA picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “I'm going Hamdi Abdalah Wahab”
PR Premium-Picks picks Hamdy Abdelwahab VALUE “I got to go with Hamdy Abdelwahab here.” $1.62
TP TCMMA Podcast picks Mohammed Usman “Abdel Wahab as the favorite”
DI Diretasso picks Hamdy Abdelwahab VALUE “o favorito é o Hamdy Abdelwahab com 61%”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Abdelwahab5-0
W Barnett Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Usman Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Pogues Decision · R3 Feb '25
Usman12-4
W Abdelwahab Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Petersen Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Parkin Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Collier Decision · R3 Sep '23
W Pauga KO/TKO · R2 Aug '22