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Hill vs Rountree Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight
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Fiziev vs BahamondesMain Card · Lightweight
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Naimov vs GradMain Card · Featherweight
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Mullins vs ZheleznyakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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KJ
Hill vs Rountree Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight
RF
IB
Fiziev vs BahamondesMain Card · Lightweight
CB
RK
Blaydes vs KunievMain Card · Heavyweight
IN
PJ
Naurdiev vs Jun-yongPreliminary Card · Middleweight
HA
MU
Abdelwahab vs UsmanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
NS
NM
Sadykhov vs MottaMain Card · Lightweight
IA
KS
Alekseeva vs SygułaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MN
BG
Naimov vs GradMain Card · Featherweight
MM
DZ
Mullins vs ZheleznyakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
TU
AM
Ulanbekov vs MaksumPreliminary Card · Flyweight
TM
MO
Musayev vs OrolbaiMain Card · Catchweight
KS
OE
Seok-hyun vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Naimov v Grad
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Naimov 11-3
VS
14-2 Grad
5'9"
height
5'8"
146 lb
weight
146 lb
70"
reach
70"
31
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.2
strikes landed / min
6.3
43%
striking accuracy
47%
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
10.2
42%
striking defence
49%
1.8
takedowns / 15 min
2.8
30%
takedown accuracy
42%
57%
takedown defence
0%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Muhammad Naimov
“I gotta go with uh Mohhamd Muhammad Naimov.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Muhammad Naimov
“I gotta go with uh Mohhamd Muhammad Naimov.”
KP
Knockout Picks picks Muhammad Naimov
“I like Muhammad Muhammad Naimov here to get this one done.”
Knockout Picks picks Muhammad Naimov
“I like Muhammad Muhammad Naimov here to get this one done.”
BM
BXG MMA picks Muhammad Naimov
“I'm going to pick Naimov, man. I'm sorry, Bogdongrad. I'm sorry.”
BXG MMA picks Muhammad Naimov
“I'm going to pick Naimov, man. I'm sorry, Bogdongrad. I'm sorry.”
BB
Bookie Beatdown picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE
“I'm kind of actually thinking Muhammad Naimov gets a KO here.”
$4.00
Bookie Beatdown picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE
“I'm kind of actually thinking Muhammad Naimov gets a KO here.”
$4.00
PR
Premium-Picks picks Muhammad Naimov
“I'm going to keep riding him until I see a reason not to”
$1.45
Premium-Picks picks Muhammad Naimov
“I'm going to keep riding him until I see a reason not to”
$1.45
DI
Diretasso picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE
“o favorito é o Muhammad Naimov com 68%”
Diretasso picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE
“o favorito é o Muhammad Naimov com 68%”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Bogdan Grad VALUE
“I think I actually like Bogdan Grad in an upset here.”
$3.05
Santino DeFranco picks Bogdan Grad VALUE
“I think I actually like Bogdan Grad in an upset here.”
$3.05
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Muhammad Naimov
“I've got Muhammad Naimov. You've got Bogdan Grad Grad.”
$1.42
Santino DeFranco picks Muhammad Naimov
“I've got Muhammad Naimov. You've got Bogdan Grad Grad.”
$1.42
RP
Rparqs picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE
“give me Naimov here... I think he knocks him out”
Rparqs picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE
“give me Naimov here... I think he knocks him out”
FF
Fite Feed picks Muhammad Naimov
“my pick for this fight is Muhammad Naimov. I think that his experience is going to edge out this win. He'll be able to mix in the grappling and still have good striking on the feet... I do have a pretty high confidence level, three out of five. I think he'll be able to get the win by decision.”
Fite Feed picks Muhammad Naimov
“my pick for this fight is Muhammad Naimov. I think that his experience is going to edge out this win. He'll be able to mix in the grappling and still have good striking on the feet... I do have a pretty high confidence level, three out of five. I think he'll be able to get the win by decision.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Naimov11-3
L
Santos
Dec '25
W
Grad
Jun '25
W
Ofli
Feb '25
L
Lima
Jun '24
W
Silva
Feb '24
Grad14-2
L
Riley
Nov '25
L
Naimov
Jun '25
W
Alexander
Feb '25