MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hill v Rountree Jr. Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus59 picks · conf 72/99
Hill 34
25 Rountree Jr.
HTBBSM pick Hill
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hill 12-2 VS 15-7 Rountree Jr.
6'4" height 6'1"
206 lb weight 205 lb
79" reach 76"
35 age 36
Southpaw stance Southpaw
7.2 strikes landed / min 4.8
54% striking accuracy 39%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.0
46% striking defence 46%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
0% takedown accuracy 40%
73% takedown defence 55%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FI FIGHTASTIC® picks Jamahal Hill “I predict this fight goes the distance, even though both of them are dangerous and can put each other's lights out in a moment's notice. But I see this fight going the full distance, possibly ending by decision and having the judges decide.”
EA EagleMMA picks Khalil Rountree Jr. “Picking Khalil Rountree Jr.. 100% picking Khalil Rountree Jr..”
GM GLO MMA picks Jamahal Hill VALUE “I'm picking Jamahal Hill to win this to get this done by uh by knockout.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Jamahal Hill VALUE “I'm going to take Jamahal Hill minus 105.” $1.95
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Khalil Rountree Jr. “I settled with um Khalil Rountree Jr.... I'm just leaning that way with Cleo Khalil Rountree Jr.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Jamahal Hill “I will guarantee you Jamahal Hill will [__] win this fight all day long... Jamahal Hill all day long.”
SH Showtime50k picks Khalil Rountree Jr. “I'm I'm going to say Khalil Rountree Jr.”
TA TakeDownTalks picks Jamahal Hill VALUE “I think Jamahal Hill can overwhelm Khalil Rountree Jr. with his face and pressure. ... Give me Jamahal Hill by knockout.”
MK Morning Kombat picks Jamahal Hill
SS SledgeHammer Sports picks Jamahal Hill VALUE “Jamahal Hill will get the win. All five rounds will be fought. Decision win for Jamahal Hill”
MN Mr. Mustache MMA NEWS picks Khalil Rountree Jr. “I think I'm taking Khalil Rountree Jr. in this fight.”
KP Knockout Picks picks Jamahal Hill “I'm going to go Jamal Hill here.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hill12-2
L Rountree Jr. Decision · R5 Jun '25
L Procházka KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L Pereira KO/TKO · R1 Apr '24
W Teixeira Decision · R5 Jan '23
W Santos KO/TKO · R4 Aug '22
Rountree Jr.15-7
L Procházka KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
W Hill Decision · R5 Jun '25
L Pereira KO/TKO · R4 Oct '24
W Smith KO/TKO · R3 Dec '23
W Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23