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Abdullayev vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Fiziev vs TorresMain Card · Lightweight
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Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
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Sadykhov vs CamiloMain Card · Lightweight
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Almabayev vs JohnsonMain Card · Flyweight
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Aliskerov vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight
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Hasanov vs NolanPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Yakhyaev vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Ruziboev vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Ofli vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Donchenko vs BerggrenPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Almakhan vs MatsumotoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Abdullayev vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Prophecy read
Abdullayev v Nascimento
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Abdullayev 19-3
VS
13-0 Nascimento
5'8"
height
5'8"
170 lb
weight
155 lb
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reach
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29
age
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stance
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strikes landed / min
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—
striking accuracy
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—
strikes absorbed / min
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—
striking defence
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takedowns / 15 min
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takedown accuracy
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takedown defence
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submissions / 15 min
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The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CB
Champ Bets picks Jefferson Nascimento
“I'm going to go Nasimento cuz I think if this fight extends, it's kind of leans towards him and he's going to think he's going to land some good body shots and can take um Tahir Abdullayev down.”
TA
The True Analyst picks Tahir Abdullayev
“I just favor, you know, Tahir Abdullayev for the win here. I'mma go Tahir Abdullayev, man.”
NI
Nick23mma picks Tahir Abdullayev
“I'm going to go Tahir Abdullayev of winning either a decision victory here or a second round finish by ground and pound.”
CM
Clutch Attitude MMA picks Jefferson Nascimento
“I'm going to take Jefferson Nascimento because he's been fighting the best opposition at arguably a better promotion as well in LFA. So, I'm going to go with Jefferson Nascimento taking this against uh the hometown kid in Tahir Abdullayev.”
MM
mmanow27 picks Jefferson Nascimento
“I really really like this guy against Jefferson Nascimento I really like him I think he does a lot really really good things in this matchup”
MM
mmanow27 picks Tahir Abdullayev
“I really really like this guy against Jefferson Nascimento I really like him I think he does a lot really really good things in this matchup”
HN
Hyde Park Ninjas picks Tahir Abdullayev
“I think Tahir Abdullayev is fighting at home because that's in this is in his country.”
MA
MMA Attic picks Tahir Abdullayev
“we'll be starting off the night with about between Tair Tahir Abdullayev versus Jefferson Nascimento, but I'm unable to find an age for Jefferson, so there's nothing I can do about this one.”
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Jefferson Nascimento
“I got to pick Jefferson Nascimento though.”
JM
Jay Jay MMA picks Jefferson Nascimento
“I think that Jefferson Nascimento is gonna pull this one off”
TM
The MMA Mystic picks Tahir Abdullayev
“I'm going to lean Tahir Abdullayev.”
HN
Hidden Source News picks Jefferson Nascimento
“I will pick Jefferson Jefferson Nascimento to edge out the win”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Abdullayev19-3
W
Nascimento
Jun '26
Nascimento13-0
L
Abdullayev
Jun '26