Choose a fight to analyse
RF
MT
Fiziev vs TorresMain Card · Lightweight
SM
MP
Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
NS
MC
Sadykhov vs CamiloMain Card · Lightweight
AA
CJ
Almabayev vs JohnsonMain Card · Flyweight
IA
BF
Aliskerov vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight
AM
MO
Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight
FH
EN
Hasanov vs NolanPreliminary Card · Welterweight
AY
JW
Yakhyaev vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
NR
AP
Ruziboev vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight
KO
JR
Ofli vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DD
TB
Donchenko vs BerggrenPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BA
JM
Almakhan vs MatsumotoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
TA
JN
Abdullayev vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
MT
Fiziev vs TorresMain Card · Lightweight
SM
Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
NS
MC
Sadykhov vs CamiloMain Card · Lightweight
AA
CJ
Almabayev vs JohnsonMain Card · Flyweight
IA
BF
Aliskerov vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight
AM
EN
Hasanov vs NolanPreliminary Card · Welterweight
AY
JW
Yakhyaev vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
NR
AP
Ruziboev vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight
KO
JR
Ofli vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DD
TB
Donchenko vs BerggrenPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BA
JM
Almakhan vs MatsumotoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
TA
JN
Abdullayev vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Donchenko v Berggren
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Donchenko 14-2
VS
8-3 Berggren
5'11"
height
6'0"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
71"
reach
—
24
age
26
Orthodox
stance
--
5.2
strikes landed / min
—
56%
striking accuracy
—
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
—
56%
striking defence
—
1.6
takedowns / 15 min
—
66%
takedown accuracy
—
82%
takedown defence
—
0.2
submissions / 15 min
—
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CM
CornerTalk MMA picks Daniil Donchenko
“I'm going to be honest, I think Daniil Donchenko is just going to run through this guy.”
CB
Champ Bets picks Daniil Donchenko
“I think it's a Daniil Donchenko run over.”
TA
The True Analyst picks Daniil Donchenko
“I'll go with Daniil Donchenko. Daniil Donchenko by decision, but not confident.”
BM
Breakdown MMA picks Daniil Donchenko
“I really see Daniil Donchenko getting a knockout win, maybe in the first or second round”
NI
Nick23mma picks Daniil Donchenko
“I'm going to go with Daniil Donchenko. Either finish him in the first two rounds or win a decision victory here.”
CM
Clutch Attitude MMA picks Daniil Donchenko
“I'm going to go with Daniil Donchenko to get this done. TKO round two. I'm going to go with that. Maybe a TKO round one.”
YO
YoungPastey picks Daniil Donchenko
“Get another highlight reel. Daniil Donchenko the highlight reel coming in with the KO. All right, that's what my that's my anticipation here.”
MM
mmanow27 picks Daniil Donchenko
“I like Daniil Donchenko in this one, Daniil Donchenko. I think he is really, really good with this matchup”
HN
Hyde Park Ninjas picks Daniil Donchenko
“I'm going Daniil Donchenko. This one's a no-brainer.”
MA
MMA Attic picks Daniil Donchenko
“This weekend we'll again be betting on Daniil Donchenko, and again, he is a sizable favorite.”
$1.22
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Daniil Donchenko
“Yeah, I got to stick with Daniil Daniil Donchenko here.”
JM
Jay Jay MMA picks Daniil Donchenko
“I just think that he's going to experience Max and I think that's the way that he's going to beat Theodor Berggren”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Donchenko14-2
W
Berggren
Jun '26
W
Morono
Feb '26
W
Sezinando
Sep '25
Berggren8-3
L
Donchenko
Jun '26