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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Moisés v Young Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus171 picks · conf 99/99
Moisés 88
83 Young
MTKMMU pick Moisés
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Moisés 19-9 VS 10-3 Young
5'9" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 155 lb
70" reach 70"
31 age 25
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.4 strikes landed / min 3.4
40% striking accuracy 35%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
54% striking defence 46%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
35% takedown accuracy 71%
55% takedown defence 79%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Thiago Moisés “I think Thiago Moisés is going to use his good at jiu-jitsu. And Thiago Moisés is the night, Thiago Moisés.”
J- J-Dog picks Thiago Moisés VALUE “I'm going to go with Thiago Moisés to win this one.”
MM Mic'd up & Misinformed picks Gauge Young VALUE “look for Gauge Young here, especially at the 145.” $1.69
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Thiago Moisés VALUE “I think Thiago Moisés is somebody who can break... he does have great jiu-jitsu and he has decent striking”
SD SDAWGSMMATALK picks Thiago Moisés VALUE “We're going with Thiago Moisés”
SD SDAWGSMMATALK picks Gauge Young VALUE “We're going with Gauge Young”
AH Alonzo Hernandez picks Thiago Moisés VALUE “I'm going Thiago Moisés here.”
MM MMA Mobsters picks Gauge Young VALUE “Give me give me give me Gauge Young.”
CE CeilingMMA picks Thiago Moisés “I'm going to go with Thiago Moisés by decision.”
MC McManusMMA picks Gauge Young VALUE “I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_25 Gauge Young to win this one”
FI Figure4_MMA picks Thiago Moisés VALUE “I'm picking Thiago Moisés by decision”
VM Voice of MMA picks Gauge Young VALUE “Give me favorite pick of the card is Gauge Young over Thiago Moisés”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Moisés19-9
L Young Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Gordon KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Ogden Decision · R3 Jan '25
L Klein Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Ramirez KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24
Young10-3
W Moisés Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Hayisaer Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Elder Decision · R3 Apr '25