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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Burns v Malott Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus235 picks · conf 99/99
Burns 91
144 Malott
MSGCWL pick Burns
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Burns 22-9 VS 13-2-1 Malott
5'10" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 171 lb
71" reach 73"
39 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 4.8
48% striking accuracy 56%
3.6 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
52% striking defence 51%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 2.4
37% takedown accuracy 29%
53% takedown defence 60%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Gilbert Burns “I think Gilbert Burns is going to beat Mike Gilbert Burns.”
TF The Fight Forecast picks Mike Malott VALUE “I'd go KO or decision Mike Malott.”
TF The Fight Forecast picks Gilbert Burns VALUE “I'm going to go with Thiago Moyes money line.”
J- J-Dog picks Gilbert Burns VALUE “Gilbert Burns is losing this fight.”
J- J-Dog picks Mike Malott VALUE “this is a win for Mike Malot.”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Gilbert Burns VALUE “I think his hand speed, his power is too much and he goes for it”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Mike Malott VALUE “I think Kyler Kyler Phillips seems like he's just like there's There's a point in your career when things start getting a little bit difficult... I think physically and like with his cardio, I just think he's built a certain way and he's built to come out and steamroll people”
SD SDAWGSMMATALK picks Gilbert Burns VALUE “I'm going all in on Gilbert Burns”
AH Alonzo Hernandez picks Gilbert Burns VALUE “I'm going Gilbert Burns here, bro. And he's got to win like via submission.”
HM HouseCat MMA picks Mike Malott VALUE “Mike Malott got finished.”
MM MMA Mobsters picks Gilbert Burns VALUE “I'll absolutely be betting at least a few hundred on Gilbert Burns.”
CE CeilingMMA picks Mike Malott “I think he's going to rock Gilbert Burns and uh probably back him against the cage and then put him out... So, look... Mike Malott KO round two.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Burns22-9
L Malott KO/TKO · R3 Apr '26
L Morales KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Brady Decision · R5 Sep '24
L Maddalena KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24
L Muhammad Decision · R5 May '23
Malott13-2-1
W Burns KO/TKO · R3 Apr '26
W Holland Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Radtke KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Giles Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Magny KO/TKO · R3 Jan '24