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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Quiñónez v Moutinho Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus2 picks · conf 10/99
Quiñónez 2
0 Moutinho
SM pick Quiñónez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Quiñónez 18-5 VS 14-7 Moutinho
height 5'7"
weight 136 lb
reach 68"
30 age 33
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.2 strikes landed / min 4.9
40% striking accuracy 32%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 15.5
55% striking defence 28%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
37% takedown accuracy 0%
84% takedown defence 0%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SA SASMR picks Cristian Quiñónez VALUE “I like Chris Matinho... I'mma go Christian by first round knockout”
MT Mic Talks picks Cristian Quiñónez VALUE “I'm going to go with Cristian Quiñónez. And I think that he's live to find a submission here um over Kris Moutinho.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Quiñónez18-5
W Moutinho Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Taha KO/TKO · R1 Sep '22
Moutinho14-7
L Quiñónez Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Quiñonez Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Wellmaker KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
L Cannetti KO/TKO · R1 Mar '22
L O'Malley KO/TKO · R3 Jul '21