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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Tarin v Kareckaitė Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus22 picks · conf 46/99
Tarin 22
0 Kareckaitė
MUWTeM pick Tarin
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Tarin 0-0 VS 5-1-1 Kareckaitė
5'7" height
130 lb weight
reach
21 age 27
-- stance Orthodox
strikes landed / min 7.9
striking accuracy 42%
strikes absorbed / min 6.9
striking defence 43%
takedowns / 15 min 1.0
takedown accuracy 66%
takedown defence 86%
submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Regina Tarin “I feel like she'll win a decision here just being more active and coming forward.”
CN Correlation Nation picks Regina Tarin VALUE “I'mma take her to win. I think she's a plus 150... I think there's a lot of value on her.” $2.50
DB DFS Bachelor picks Regina Tarin “I kind of like this Regina Tarin girl that's taking the fight on short notice, 7-0, fighting in Mexico City, was supposed to fight in the Contender Series.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Regina Tarin “maybe take a look at Regina Tarin. Kind of debut for Regina Tarin at another time. Ak I'm >> Against Ernesta Kareckaitė.”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Regina Tarin “replacement here guys with Regina Tarin picking the UFC debut and Regina Tarin to Regina Tarin versus Ernesta Kareckaitė. don't rate Ernesta Kareckaitė.”
TE Teep_Muaythai picks Regina Tarin “I've got Regina Tarin by decision. 2928 decision.”
PM PUNCH ONS MMA picks Regina Tarin “She's to go with Regina Tarin winning by TKO”
HN Hidden Source News picks Regina Tarin “I'm picking Regina Tarin to get the win”
TA The True Analyst picks Regina Tarin “go with Regina Tarin here. I say Regina Tarin by you know, a split decision for Regina Tarin. So, I'll go Regina Tarin by split.”
DC Dougies Corner picks Regina Tarin “We are going with Regina Tarin.”
RR Rising the Ranks picks Regina Tarin VALUE “Regina Tarin Tin is live for the knockout.”
RE RearNakedLocks picks Regina Tarin “Yeah, I agree. Let's go Regina Tarin.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Tarin0-0
W Kareckaitė Decision · R3 Feb '26
Kareckaitė5-1-1
L Tarin Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Caliari Decision · R3 Jan '25
L Barbosa Decision · R3 May '24