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Moreno vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
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Vera vs MartínezMain Card · Bantamweight
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Zellhuber vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
ÉC
FB
Cháirez vs BunesMain Card · Flyweight
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AP
Luna vs PachecoMain Card · Bantamweight
AP
MC
Pérez vs ChiassonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Andrade vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Silva vs MarshallPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Pinas vs SchultzPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Rodríguez vs BorjasMain Card · Flyweight
RT
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Tarin vs KareckaitėPreliminary Card · Catchweight
RG
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Gandra vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Quiñónez vs MoutinhoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Silva v Marshall
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Silva 9-3
VS
9-3 Marshall
5'9"
height
5'9"
146 lb
weight
145 lb
71"
reach
72"
39
age
27
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.1
strikes landed / min
3.7
70%
striking accuracy
34%
1.6
strikes absorbed / min
4.2
40%
striking defence
53%
3.8
takedowns / 15 min
2.7
80%
takedown accuracy
41%
62%
takedown defence
50%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TR
TrueComboMMA picks Erik Silva
“I'm taking Erik Silva”
MM
MmaTape picks Erik Silva VALUE
“I bet on it. I'll show you that in a minute. But Francis Marshall, he should win the fight. ... Sprinkle Erik Silva by sub, you'd be stupid not to because it's his only win condition.”
MM
MmaTape picks Francis Marshall VALUE
“Francis Marshall, he beats Erik Silva everywhere, but hey, you got to respect that Erik Silva. What he does is submissions, so he could get a lucky sub. ... But Francis Marshall, he should win the fight.”
VI
VinceMMA picks Erik Silva VALUE
“I'm going to go Erik Silva by decision”
VI
VinceMMA picks Francis Marshall VALUE
“I'm going to go Francis Marshall by decision”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Francis Marshall
“I'm going to go with Francis Marshall to win this fight.”
CN
Correlation Nation picks Francis Marshall
“I definitely favor Francis Marshall in this fight.”
MM
MMA Mobsters picks Francis Marshall
“But yeah, Francis Marshall rolls here. I think that Francis Marshall is an be Francis Marshall for me this week.”
MC
McManusMMA picks Francis Marshall
“I think Francis Marshall's just like submit Erik Silva.”
CP
Clinch Conversations Podcast picks Francis Marshall VALUE
“I'm a big Francis Marshall guy.”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Francis Marshall
“I got him by finish uh probably like in the middle of this fight. Probably KO.”
MA
MaybeLuissMMA picks Francis Marshall
“I got Marshall uh by finishing round one or two.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Silva9-3
L
Marshall
Feb '26
L
Naimov
Feb '24
L
Brown
Dec '22
Marshall9-3
W
Brennan
Apr '26
W
Silva
Feb '26
L
Santos
Mar '25
W
Buzukja
Aug '24
L
Dulgarian
Aug '23