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Garbrandt vs LongPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Durden vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mudaerji v Santos Aguilar
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mudaerji 15-12-2
VS
12-4 Santos Aguilar
6'7"
height
5'4"
192 lb
weight
125 lb
79"
reach
63"
—
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.0
strikes landed / min
5.3
63%
striking accuracy
50%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
2.6
61%
striking defence
48%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
3.0
53%
takedown accuracy
29%
72%
takedown defence
53%
1.8
submissions / 15 min
1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Su Mudaerji
“Yeah, we're going Su Mudaerji.”
DMan&MariPulls picks Su Mudaerji
“Yeah, we're going Su Mudaerji.”
WB
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Su Mudaerji VALUE
“I'm taking Su Mudaerji by decision.”
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Su Mudaerji VALUE
“I'm taking Su Mudaerji by decision.”
DY
DylanMMA picks Su Mudaerji
“See, I'll go with Su Mudaerji.”
DylanMMA picks Su Mudaerji
“See, I'll go with Su Mudaerji.”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Jesús Santos Aguilar
“So Jesús Santos Aguilar is going to win that one.”
CouchWarrior1 picks Jesús Santos Aguilar
“So Jesús Santos Aguilar is going to win that one.”
AN
AntUFC picks Su Mudaerji VALUE
“I have Su Mudaerji in this fight by decision”
AntUFC picks Su Mudaerji VALUE
“I have Su Mudaerji in this fight by decision”
MT
Mark Berry TMA picks Su Mudaerji VALUE
“I got to go Sumari in this fight. I just don't see it from the Agalar standpoint... I think he wins the fight by decision”
Mark Berry TMA picks Su Mudaerji VALUE
“I got to go Sumari in this fight. I just don't see it from the Agalar standpoint... I think he wins the fight by decision”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE
“Jesús Santos Aguilar Money Line. Plus 215 was Jesús Santos Aguilar looks to have, I think, the key win streak.”
$3.15
etoft21 sports picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE
“Jesús Santos Aguilar Money Line. Plus 215 was Jesús Santos Aguilar looks to have, I think, the key win streak.”
$3.15
NI
Nick23mma picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE
“I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_10 on this one.”
Nick23mma picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE
“I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_10 on this one.”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Jesús Santos Aguilar
“ready to bet Jesús Santos Aguilar because you're Jesús Santos Aguilar gets on the neck of Madari always talk about with Jesús Santos Aguilar, Jesús Santos Aguilar is just going to be weathering Jesús Santos Aguilar plus 200 as official pick.”
$3.00
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Jesús Santos Aguilar
“ready to bet Jesús Santos Aguilar because you're Jesús Santos Aguilar gets on the neck of Madari always talk about with Jesús Santos Aguilar, Jesús Santos Aguilar is just going to be weathering Jesús Santos Aguilar plus 200 as official pick.”
$3.00
BM
Bozing MMA picks Su Mudaerji
“I think Su Mudaerji is going to finish Jesús Santos Aguilar”
Bozing MMA picks Su Mudaerji
“I think Su Mudaerji is going to finish Jesús Santos Aguilar”
TG
THE MMA GUYS picks Su Mudaerji
“I think Su Mudaerji is going to beat the bricks of Jesús Santos Aguilar.”
THE MMA GUYS picks Su Mudaerji
“I think Su Mudaerji is going to beat the bricks of Jesús Santos Aguilar.”
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE
“It is Jesús Santos Aguilar at 7100”
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Jesús Santos Aguilar VALUE
“It is Jesús Santos Aguilar at 7100”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mudaerji15-12-2
W
Aguilar
Mar '26
W
Borjas
Aug '25
W
Raposo
Apr '25
L
Johnson
Oct '24
L
Elliott
Dec '23
Santos Aguilar12-4
L
Mudaerji
Mar '26
W
Gurule
Sep '25
L
Estevam
Feb '25
W
Nicoll
Aug '24
W
Mendonça
Feb '24