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UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Dober v Johnson Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus303 picks · conf 99/99
Dober 128
175 Johnson
KCKPFM pick Dober
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Dober 28-15 VS 0-0 Johnson
5'8" height 5'10"
155 lb weight 156 lb
70" reach 74"
37 age 40
Southpaw stance Southpaw
2.9 strikes landed / min 4.3
52% striking accuracy 39%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
47% striking defence 57%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
51% takedown accuracy 41%
66% takedown defence 81%
1.8 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Drew Dober “I'm picking Drew Drew Dober by murder in the second round.”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Drew Dober “I'm going Drew Dober.”
TE TeejMMA picks Michael Johnson “Michael Johnson obviously obviously but I think Michael Johnson Michael Johnson by TKO round one let's”
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Drew Dober VALUE “I believe Dober will get it done by decision.”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Michael Johnson VALUE “I did pick Michael Michael Johnson to win as well.”
DY DylanMMA picks Michael Johnson “I'mma go with Michael Johnson by first round KO.”
VI Vicious421 picks Drew Dober VALUE “I'm going to go Michael Johnson on this one.”
KU Kunath picks Drew Dober VALUE “I think Michael Johnson doesn't go the distance.”
HI HilexMMA picks Michael Johnson “I'm going to go with Michael Johnson by KO. I think I think Michael Johnson by KO.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Drew Dober “I'm sticking with Drew Dober. I think he's I think he's going to win this bad boy.”
TF The Fight Forecast picks Michael Johnson VALUE “I think he KO is over. Plus 210. He's my pick. Michael Johnson by KO.”
AN AntUFC picks Drew Dober VALUE “I'm going with Drew Dober here... I see Drew Dober just wbering the storm. And as the fight goes on, I believe he's gonna find that chin. Powers on his side for me in this one. So, I'm going with Drew Dober by TKO here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Dober28-15
W Johnson KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W Prepolec KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
L Torres KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Silva KO/TKO · R3 Jul '24
L Moicano Decision · R3 Feb '24
Johnson0-0
L Dober KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W Zellhuber Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Azaitar KO/TKO · R2 Dec '24
W Flowers Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Ferreira KO/TKO · R2 May '23