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Luna vs LeMain Card · Bantamweight
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Hernandez vs FerreiraMain Card · Lightweight
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Puelles vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
TS
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Suarez vs LemosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
JA
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Aguilar vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Reese vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Rendon vs PereiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Costa v Coria
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Costa 15-5
VS
11-3 Coria
5'4"
height
5'8"
125 lb
weight
126 lb
67"
reach
67"
30
age
28
Orthodox
stance
--
4.2
strikes landed / min
2.9
48%
striking accuracy
55%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
2.2
62%
striking defence
70%
2.9
takedowns / 15 min
2.2
54%
takedown accuracy
29%
69%
takedown defence
81%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Alessandro Costa
“No, I'm gonna go with Alessandro Costa. Just minus >> Alessandro Costa.”
UW
Uncle Weezy picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm picking Costa to win this one by decision.”
ND
Nina Drama picks Alessandro Costa
BO
BotmfeederMMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to go with Alexandra Costa. Get a round two finish over Alden Coria.”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“Give me Costa. I think Costa could land bigger shots.”
EV
Evod9373 picks Alessandro Costa
“Alden Coria versus Alessandro Costa”
HN
Hidden Source News picks Alessandro Costa
“I'll pick Alessandro Costa, but I won't be betting it.”
DC
Dougies Corner picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm picking Alessandro Costa round one.”
TM
Teo Talks MMA picks Alessandro Costa
“Give me Alessandro Costa to win it via decision.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Costa15-5
W
Schnell
Jun '26
W
Nicoll
Apr '26
L
Coria
Sep '25
W
Borjas
May '24
L
Erceg
Nov '23
Coria11-3
W
Gurule
Feb '26
W
Costa
Sep '25