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UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Costa v Coria Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus88 picks · conf 81/99
Costa 73
15 Coria
TTLBNT pick Costa
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Costa 15-5 VS 11-3 Coria
5'4" height 5'8"
125 lb weight 126 lb
67" reach 67"
30 age 28
Orthodox stance --
4.2 strikes landed / min 2.9
48% striking accuracy 55%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 2.2
62% striking defence 70%
2.9 takedowns / 15 min 2.2
54% takedown accuracy 29%
69% takedown defence 81%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Alessandro Costa “No, I'm gonna go with Alessandro Costa. Just minus >> Alessandro Costa.”
UW Uncle Weezy picks Alessandro Costa “I'm picking Costa to win this one by decision.”
ND Nina Drama picks Alessandro Costa
BO BotmfeederMMA picks Alessandro Costa “I'm going to go with Alexandra Costa. Get a round two finish over Alden Coria.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Alessandro Costa VALUE “Give me Costa. I think Costa could land bigger shots.”
EV Evod9373 picks Alessandro Costa “Alden Coria versus Alessandro Costa”
HN Hidden Source News picks Alessandro Costa “I'll pick Alessandro Costa, but I won't be betting it.”
SR SrodrMMABet picks Alden Coria “0.25 in Alden Coria at plus 325” $4.25
DC Dougies Corner picks Alessandro Costa “I'm picking Alessandro Costa round one.”
PI PickemMMA picks Alden Coria VALUE “I'm going to pick Alden Korea.” $9.30
TM Teo Talks MMA picks Alessandro Costa “Give me Alessandro Costa to win it via decision.”
TM The MMA Mathematician picks Alessandro Costa “You got to go Alessandro Costa here.” $1.22
Recent form last five, most recent first
Costa15-5
W Schnell KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Nicoll KO/TKO · R2 Apr '26
L Coria KO/TKO · R3 Sep '25
W Borjas KO/TKO · R2 May '24
L Erceg Decision · R3 Nov '23
Coria11-3
W Gurule Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Costa KO/TKO · R3 Sep '25