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UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Reese v Dumas Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus83 picks · conf 79/99
Reese 70
13 Dumas
TELBNT pick Reese
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Reese 10-3 VS 10-4 Dumas
6'4" height 6'2"
185 lb weight 185 lb
77" reach 79"
32 age 30
Switch stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 2.1
36% striking accuracy 48%
2.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.0
49% striking defence 58%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.3
69% takedown accuracy 35%
64% takedown defence 40%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Sedriques Dumas “I will be putting money on Sedriques Dumas okay, she's plus 120”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Zachary Reese “I like Zachary Reese to win by KO or Submission or just Zachary Reese to win by”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE “I like Zachary Reese to win by KO or Submission... Zachary Reese... I think he gets it done inside the distance.”
JO JorgeFlyingKnee picks Zachary Reese “I got Zachary Reese by UD.”
UW Uncle Weezy picks Zachary Reese “I'm picking Zach Reese to win by first round knockout.”
TO The Handsum One picks Zachary Reese “Taking Zachary Reese over Sedriques Dumas.”
JA Jarheadislive picks Sedriques Dumas “Sedriques Dumas wagitey, buxa mara mali”
BO BotmfeederMMA picks Zachary Reese “I'm gonna hope that Sedriques Dumas gets knocked out in the first round by Zachary Reese.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Zachary Reese VALUE “I'm picking the side of Zachary Reese.”
EV Evod9373 picks Zachary Reese “Sedriques Dumas versus Zachary Reese”
HN Hidden Source News picks Zachary Reese “I'll give the slight lean to Zachary Zachary Reese, but honestly, I won't be betting this one.”
DC Dougies Corner picks Zachary Reese “I'm picking the Viking bloke from Tough.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Reese10-3
L Pereira Decision · R3 Feb '26
W McVey Submission · R2 Nov '25
W Todorović Decision · R3 May '25
L Bekoev KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Medina Decision · R3 Aug '24
Dumas10-4
L McVey Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Johnson Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Tiuliulin Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Ruziboev KO/TKO · R1 Mar '24