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UFC 282: Błachowicz vs. Ankalaev
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Topuria v Mitchell Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus13 picks · conf 34/99
Topuria 7
6 Mitchell
MUAFW pick Topuria
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Topuria 17-0 VS 18-4 Mitchell
5'7" height 5'10"
155 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 70"
29 age 31
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.5 strikes landed / min 2.3
54% striking accuracy 58%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 1.6
61% striking defence 58%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 3.5
57% takedown accuracy 41%
84% takedown defence 33%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 1.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UP UFC FIGHT PASS picks Bryce Mitchell “I'm a Bryce Mitchell fan why I want to see Bryce Mitchell win”
UP UFC FIGHT PASS picks Ilia Topuria “I'm going to Ilia Topuria”
JB Jonny Says Boxing picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE “go with Bryce Mitchell at the underdog you give me a two to one odds on a Bryce Mitchell 100 on Bryce Mitchell you get 200 back a lot of and throw Bryce Mitchell on our ticket we got”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Ilia Topuria VALUE “I'm going ill yeah I mean I liked him since he's soon stepped in the Octagon I like oh yeah man”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ilia Topuria VALUE “I'm picking Ilia Topuria to break the undefeated streak” $1.74
SN SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Ilia Topuria “I like Ilia Topuria for Ilia Topuria because if there's one Department yet and if Ilia Topuria can that I think I think Ilia Topuria does”
WP We Want Picks picks Ilia Topuria VALUE “I think Elite supporter wins his fight” $85.00
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Bryce Mitchell “you went with Bruce Mitchell”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Ilia Topuria “I'm gonna go with the Korea”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ilia Topuria “my prediction with this match up I'm gonna side with Ilia Topuria”
WI WEIGHING IN picks Bryce Mitchell “I'm taking Bryce Mitchell on this plus 115” $2.15
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ilia Topuria VALUE “I think taporia wins a decision here” $1.77
Recent form last five, most recent first
Topuria17-0
L Gaethje KO/TKO · R4 Jun '26
W Oliveira KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Holloway KO/TKO · R3 Oct '24
W Volkanovski KO/TKO · R2 Feb '24
W Emmett Decision · R5 Jun '23
Mitchell18-4
W Luna Submission · R3 Jun '26
W Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Silva Submission · R2 Apr '25
W Gracie KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Emmett KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23