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Pimblett vs GordonMain Card · Lightweight
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Ponzinibbio vs MoronoMain Card · Catchweight
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Plessis vs TillMain Card · Middleweight
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Topuria vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight
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Rosas Jr. vs PerrinPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JR
CD
Rozenstruik vs DaukausPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Shahbazyan vs LungiambulaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pimblett v Gordon
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pimblett 23-3
VS
21-8 Gordon
5'10"
height
5'9"
155 lb
weight
156 lb
73"
reach
68"
31
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.9
strikes landed / min
2.9
53%
striking accuracy
48%
3.8
strikes absorbed / min
2.0
40%
striking defence
62%
0.9
takedowns / 15 min
2.6
25%
takedown accuracy
61%
52%
takedown defence
81%
2.1
submissions / 15 min
1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
UP
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Paddy Pimblett
“I see Paddy Pimblett winning Paddy Pimblett is uh the favorite that if he right so uh Paddy Pimblett early Jared Gordon light yes thinking Paddy Pimblett early”
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Paddy Pimblett
“I see Paddy Pimblett winning Paddy Pimblett is uh the favorite that if he right so uh Paddy Pimblett early Jared Gordon light yes thinking Paddy Pimblett early”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Paddy Pimblett
“Paddy Pimblett at 9100 taking on week as Paddy Pimblett by submission I is Paddy Pimblett and we'll go to Drake what Paddy Pimblett did to Jordan NOT_IN_ROSTER_39 Jared Gordon at 7100”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Paddy Pimblett
“Paddy Pimblett at 9100 taking on week as Paddy Pimblett by submission I is Paddy Pimblett and we'll go to Drake what Paddy Pimblett did to Jordan NOT_IN_ROSTER_39 Jared Gordon at 7100”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm gonna go still ride with Paddy Pimblett on this one I mean he looks good and I you know obviously the way he's been performing so far I gotta take Paddy Pimblett”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm gonna go still ride with Paddy Pimblett on this one I mean he looks good and I you know obviously the way he's been performing so far I gotta take Paddy Pimblett”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm on Paddy Pimblett here as well... my pick here is Paddy Pimblett um by just by judge's decision”
Dynes Sports picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm on Paddy Pimblett here as well... my pick here is Paddy Pimblett um by just by judge's decision”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm going to for you to win decision”
MMA EXPERTS picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm going to for you to win decision”
KU
Kunath picks Paddy Pimblett
“Paddy Pimblett Magomed Ankalaev that gives us some pretty tremendous odds”
Kunath picks Paddy Pimblett
“Paddy Pimblett Magomed Ankalaev that gives us some pretty tremendous odds”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“I think Jared Gordon's gonna take Paddy Pimblett down sort of lay on him a little bit eventually Paddy Pimblett may find his spot may get something done but I do like you know I I do like this fight to go either to a decision or later to the third round”
We Want Picks picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“I think Jared Gordon's gonna take Paddy Pimblett down sort of lay on him a little bit eventually Paddy Pimblett may find his spot may get something done but I do like you know I I do like this fight to go either to a decision or later to the third round”
TF
The ICE Files picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Patty the Baddie”
The ICE Files picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Patty the Baddie”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Paddy Pimblett
“my prediction with this match up at some point Paddy's gonna take the back of Jared and it's going to be a wrap”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Paddy Pimblett
“my prediction with this match up at some point Paddy's gonna take the back of Jared and it's going to be a wrap”
WI
WEIGHING IN picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“I'd throw 50 bucks on the fight go with Jared Gordon and see if that he can pull that big upset”
$2.94
WEIGHING IN picks Jared Gordon VALUE
“I'd throw 50 bucks on the fight go with Jared Gordon and see if that he can pull that big upset”
$2.94
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE
“I'm going maybe third round Jared Gordon Gordon gets his back taken quite a bit from what I've seen yeah he does not easy to submit but he does and Paddy Pimblett I think can find some”
$6.00
MMA EXPERTS picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE
“I'm going maybe third round Jared Gordon Gordon gets his back taken quite a bit from what I've seen yeah he does not easy to submit but he does and Paddy Pimblett I think can find some”
$6.00
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pimblett23-3
L
Gaethje
Jan '26
W
Chandler
Apr '25
W
Green
Jul '24
W
Ferguson
Dec '23
W
Gordon
Dec '22
Gordon21-8
L
Miller
May '26
L
García
Sep '25
W
Moisés
May '25
L
Haqparast
Jun '24
W
Madsen
Nov '23