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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Dawson v Ismagulov
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Dawson 23-3-1
VS
24-3 Ismagulov
5'10"
height
5'10"
156 lb
weight
156 lb
72"
reach
74"
32
age
35
Switch
stance
Orthodox
3.1
strikes landed / min
3.4
52%
striking accuracy
42%
2.0
strikes absorbed / min
2.4
45%
striking defence
61%
3.6
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
38%
takedown accuracy
28%
57%
takedown defence
70%
1.2
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Grant Dawson
“it's either going to be Grant Dawson Landing some takedowns with some control time or Damir Ismagulov keeps it on the feet and wins that way but I don't think there's gonna be a finish”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Grant Dawson
“it's either going to be Grant Dawson Landing some takedowns with some control time or Damir Ismagulov keeps it on the feet and wins that way but I don't think there's gonna be a finish”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Grant Dawson VALUE
“give me the mirrors Maggie love give me the OV for the win... Damir Ismagulov For the Win unanimous decision”
$1.91
MMA EXPERTS picks Grant Dawson VALUE
“give me the mirrors Maggie love give me the OV for the win... Damir Ismagulov For the Win unanimous decision”
$1.91
PP
Prime Time Picks picks Grant Dawson
“I'm going with renat fakerdinov”
Prime Time Picks picks Grant Dawson
“I'm going with renat fakerdinov”
WP
We Want Picks picks Damir Ismagulov VALUE
“I think damir is magulov wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Damir Ismagulov VALUE
“I think damir is magulov wins this fight”
MR
Mr.YabaChaba picks Grant Dawson
“I'll go with grand Dawson I think Grand Dawson is going to get it done”
Mr.YabaChaba picks Grant Dawson
“I'll go with grand Dawson I think Grand Dawson is going to get it done”
AD
Addicted2Combat picks Damir Ismagulov
“most confident fighter is Joanderson Brito Ismael Bonfim Brunno Ferreira Michael Morales Guram Kutateladze Damir Ismagulov Karol Rosa Melissa Gatto Abusupiyan Magomedov Rinat Fakhretdinov Blagoy Ivanov and least confident pick is Luana Carolina”
Addicted2Combat picks Damir Ismagulov
“most confident fighter is Joanderson Brito Ismael Bonfim Brunno Ferreira Michael Morales Guram Kutateladze Damir Ismagulov Karol Rosa Melissa Gatto Abusupiyan Magomedov Rinat Fakhretdinov Blagoy Ivanov and least confident pick is Luana Carolina”
TA
The True Analyst picks Grant Dawson
“I'm gonna go to Grandma I'm here guys I must say go around by bad decision here”
The True Analyst picks Grant Dawson
“I'm gonna go to Grandma I'm here guys I must say go around by bad decision here”
AS
AnyAction SportsCast picks Grant Dawson VALUE
“I pick him for a reason and I'm gonna go with Grant Dawson”
$2.25
AnyAction SportsCast picks Grant Dawson VALUE
“I pick him for a reason and I'm gonna go with Grant Dawson”
$2.25
MM
MMAPredictionExperts picks Grant Dawson VALUE
“I feel Grant Dawson Dawson has the tools to win this matchup he's got an exceptional ground game and I feel like he's going to be able to exploit them near there he's going to work his strikes get into that clinch and get that takedown and once he does I think Damir Ismagulov is going to be a bit of a fish out of water so at a minus 110 I'm looking for a grant to get this top up a rear naked choke”
MMAPredictionExperts picks Grant Dawson VALUE
“I feel Grant Dawson Dawson has the tools to win this matchup he's got an exceptional ground game and I feel like he's going to be able to exploit them near there he's going to work his strikes get into that clinch and get that takedown and once he does I think Damir Ismagulov is going to be a bit of a fish out of water so at a minus 110 I'm looking for a grant to get this top up a rear naked choke”
WP
We Want Picks picks Grant Dawson
“unfortunately we do have Grant Dawson playing out for the cold Main Event”
We Want Picks picks Grant Dawson
“unfortunately we do have Grant Dawson playing out for the cold Main Event”
JR
JrBlessed picks Grant Dawson
“my pick's gonna be Grant Dawson”
JrBlessed picks Grant Dawson
“my pick's gonna be Grant Dawson”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Dawson23-3-1
W
Rębecki
May '26
L
Torres
Dec '25
W
Ferreira
Jan '25
W
García
Oct '24
W
Solecki
Jun '24
Ismagulov24-3
L
Dawson
Jul '23
L
Tsarukyan
Dec '22
W
Kutateladze
Jun '22
W
Alves
May '21
W
Moisés
Aug '19