MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Strickland v Magomedov Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus50 picks · conf 70/99
Strickland 41
9 Magomedov
HGPAKP pick Strickland
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Strickland 30-7 VS 28-7-1 Magomedov
6'1" height 6'2"
185 lb weight 185 lb
76" reach 78"
35 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 4.7
47% striking accuracy 38%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
58% striking defence 74%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
40% takedown accuracy 60%
78% takedown defence 65%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DR DraftKings picks Sean Strickland “I like Sean Strickland by decision Sean Strickland minus 175” $1.57
TM The MMA-Holes picks Sean Strickland “I'm taking Sean Strickland yeah I I this is just I'm taking Sean Strickland yeah I I this is just it's just tailor-made for Sean Strickland”
WP WTL (Where's The Line?) Sports Betting Podcast picks Sean Strickland VALUE “I really just like the overall minus 150 for Sean Strickland to win this fight as well” $1.67
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Sean Strickland VALUE “I'm going to lean towards the Strickland side because I do think we get a little bit of an ownership discount on him considering where he's priced and the way the line is moving” $1.69
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Sean Strickland VALUE “Sean Strickland for the win and I'm saying it's a unanimous decision” $1.59
PP Prime Time Picks picks Sean Strickland “I have to go Sean Strickland I have to go Sean Sean Strickland”
CO Covers picks Sean Strickland VALUE “I think Sean Strickland has a lot of value on the money line”
WP We Want Picks picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “I think Abusupiyan Magomedov wins this fight I'm gonna spend the 7 700”
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Sean Strickland “I'm with you AJ just because I think yeah Sean Strickland sucks he's overrated” $1.67
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “I think abuse is going to abuse Sean Strickland I think he's got the win” $2.22
MR Mr.YabaChaba picks Sean Strickland “Sean Strickland by five round SmackDown decision”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “most confident fighter is Joanderson Brito Ismael Bonfim Brunno Ferreira Michael Morales Guram Kutateladze Damir Ismagulov Karol Rosa Melissa Gatto Abusupiyan Magomedov Rinat Fakhretdinov Blagoy Ivanov and least confident pick is Luana Carolina”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Strickland30-7
W Chimaev Decision · R5 May '26
W Hernandez KO/TKO · R3 Feb '26
L Plessis Decision · R5 Feb '25
W Costa Decision · R5 Jun '24
L Plessis Decision · R5 Jan '24
Magomedov28-7-1
W Oleksiejczuk Submission · R1 Jun '26
L Pyfer Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Pereira Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Ferreira Submission · R3 Oct '24
W Alves Decision · R3 May '24