Choose a fight to analyse
AV
YR
Volkanovski vs RodríguezMain Card · Featherweight
AP
BM
Pantoja vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight
DP
RW
Plessis vs WhittakerMain Card · Middleweight
DH
JT
Hooker vs TurnerMain Card · Catchweight
BN
VW
Nickal vs WoodburnMain Card · Middleweight
RL
NP
Lawler vs PricePreliminary Card · Welterweight
TT
ÉC
Taira vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Catchweight
DG
YJ
Gomes vs JaureguiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AM
JC
Menifield vs CrutePreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
VP
MP
Petrino vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CS
TM
Saaiman vs MitchellEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
JA
SR
Aguilar vs RossEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
ER
KK
Ribovics vs KirkEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
YR
Volkanovski vs RodríguezMain Card · Featherweight
AP
BM
Pantoja vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight
DP
RW
Plessis vs WhittakerMain Card · Middleweight
DH
JT
Hooker vs TurnerMain Card · Catchweight
BN
VW
Nickal vs WoodburnMain Card · Middleweight
RL
NP
Lawler vs PricePreliminary Card · Welterweight
TT
ÉC
Taira vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Catchweight
DG
YJ
Gomes vs JaureguiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AM
JC
Menifield vs CrutePreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
VP
MP
Petrino vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CS
TM
Saaiman vs MitchellEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
JA
SR
Aguilar vs RossEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
ER
KK
Ribovics vs KirkEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pantoja v Moreno
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pantoja 28-5
VS
23-9-2 Moreno
5'5"
height
5'7"
125 lb
weight
125 lb
67"
reach
70"
36
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
4.0
49%
striking accuracy
43%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.5
50%
striking defence
60%
2.6
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
47%
takedown accuracy
46%
68%
takedown defence
64%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“if there's one fighter on the main card out of the 10 fighters who I wanna bet on the money line it would be Alexander Vantage”
$1.52
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“if there's one fighter on the main card out of the 10 fighters who I wanna bet on the money line it would be Alexander Vantage”
$1.52
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Brandon Moreno
“I gotta go with the improving Champion but you just fought figure out a four times Brandon Marino very well has improved”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Brandon Moreno
“I gotta go with the improving Champion but you just fought figure out a four times Brandon Marino very well has improved”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Alexandre Pantoja
“I'm gonna pick Alexandre Pantoja I'm in the cage I'm picking Alexandre Pantoja by I'm going Alexandre Pantoja okay Bet the house on Alexandre Pantoja”
The MMA-Holes picks Alexandre Pantoja
“I'm gonna pick Alexandre Pantoja I'm in the cage I'm picking Alexandre Pantoja by I'm going Alexandre Pantoja okay Bet the house on Alexandre Pantoja”
EB
ESPN BET picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“I'm gonna go the under dog here though in pantosia”
$2.75
ESPN BET picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“I'm gonna go the under dog here though in pantosia”
$2.75
HP
Heavy P picks Brandon Moreno
“Brandon Moreno the great Alexander Volkanovski”
Heavy P picks Brandon Moreno
“Brandon Moreno the great Alexander Volkanovski”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“I'm picking pantosia in this fight um he's is my other Underdog so I've only picked 200 dogs in this fight I wish I could pick more but I just can't um duplicity could be like a wild card but uh but can't pick against Whitaker but having said that I mean where's Alexander pentosia and all this like it's like he hasn't been in the mix like he's coming out of nowhere really how many people really know anything about Alexander pantosha Brandon Moreno you hear him about everything I don't know like I just think they built Brandon Moreno up it's not that he's a bad fighter he's a great fighter he is the champ he's beaten doll the best fighters but pentosia hasn't even had a chance to fight these guys like they haven't even either they've been avoiding him or they're I don't know pretending like he's not there anyways Patois is going to be the pick”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“I'm picking pantosia in this fight um he's is my other Underdog so I've only picked 200 dogs in this fight I wish I could pick more but I just can't um duplicity could be like a wild card but uh but can't pick against Whitaker but having said that I mean where's Alexander pentosia and all this like it's like he hasn't been in the mix like he's coming out of nowhere really how many people really know anything about Alexander pantosha Brandon Moreno you hear him about everything I don't know like I just think they built Brandon Moreno up it's not that he's a bad fighter he's a great fighter he is the champ he's beaten doll the best fighters but pentosia hasn't even had a chance to fight these guys like they haven't even either they've been avoiding him or they're I don't know pretending like he's not there anyways Patois is going to be the pick”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“Alexandre Pantoja from Brandon Moreno be getting Brandon Moreno down early we're uphill battle for Alexandre Pantoja to get into um”
Dynes Sports picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“Alexandre Pantoja from Brandon Moreno be getting Brandon Moreno down early we're uphill battle for Alexandre Pantoja to get into um”
FR
Fight Recap picks Alexandre Pantoja
“I think Alexandre Pantoja is gonna get the upset”
Fight Recap picks Alexandre Pantoja
“I think Alexandre Pantoja is gonna get the upset”
KU
Kunath picks Brandon Moreno
“I do think that Brandon Brandon Moreno wins”
Kunath picks Brandon Moreno
“I do think that Brandon Brandon Moreno wins”
KU
Kunath picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“alejandre Pantoja 7500 one of the better value plays that I've identified this week”
Kunath picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“alejandre Pantoja 7500 one of the better value plays that I've identified this week”
HY
Hypecheck picks Alexandre Pantoja
“I know a lot of people are in Alexandre Pantoja in this spot but I'm backing a Alexandre Pantoja in this spot but I'm backing a”
Hypecheck picks Alexandre Pantoja
“I know a lot of people are in Alexandre Pantoja in this spot but I'm backing a Alexandre Pantoja in this spot but I'm backing a”
HC
Henry Cejudo picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“my predictions for this fight is Alexandre Pantoja third time... I have to go with Alexandre Pantoja for another upset”
Henry Cejudo picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“my predictions for this fight is Alexandre Pantoja third time... I have to go with Alexandre Pantoja for another upset”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pantoja28-5
L
Van
Dec '25
W
Kara-France
Jun '25
W
Asakura
Dec '24
W
Erceg
May '24
W
Royval
Dec '23
Moreno23-9-2
L
Kavanagh
Feb '26
L
Taira
Dec '25
W
Erceg
Mar '25
W
Albazi
Nov '24
L
Royval
Feb '24