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Pantoja vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight
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Plessis vs WhittakerMain Card · Middleweight
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Hooker vs TurnerMain Card · Catchweight
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Nickal vs WoodburnMain Card · Middleweight
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Taira vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Gomes vs JaureguiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Menifield vs CrutePreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Petrino vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Volkanovski v Rodríguez
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Volkanovski 27-4
VS
16-5 Rodríguez
5'6"
height
—
145 lb
weight
—
72"
reach
—
37
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
6.0
strikes landed / min
4.7
51%
striking accuracy
46%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.0
57%
striking defence
52%
3.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
48%
takedown accuracy
27%
70%
takedown defence
58%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OM
One On One | MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“Alexander Volkanovski is a true champion ... Alexander Volkanovski is gonna win this fight because he's supposed to win this fight ... so Alexander Volkanovski Alexander Volkanovski rolls he wins by decision”
One On One | MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“Alexander Volkanovski is a true champion ... Alexander Volkanovski is gonna win this fight because he's supposed to win this fight ... so Alexander Volkanovski Alexander Volkanovski rolls he wins by decision”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE
“I gotta go with him this time I feel like the body kicks are gonna be a big factor this time so I feel like he's gonna hurt bulk in the body”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE
“I gotta go with him this time I feel like the body kicks are gonna be a big factor this time so I feel like he's gonna hurt bulk in the body”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“I gotta go with the great man he almost beat uh Islam he got into the submission attempts and it's going to take a fluky KO for a year in this one”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“I gotta go with the great man he almost beat uh Islam he got into the submission attempts and it's going to take a fluky KO for a year in this one”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Alexander Volkanovski
“I'm gonna say Alexander Volkanovski”
The MMA-Holes picks Alexander Volkanovski
“I'm gonna say Alexander Volkanovski”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Alexander Volkanovski
“I go out there I'm going to squash him I'm gonna do my thing and still baby”
MMAWeekly.com picks Alexander Volkanovski
“I go out there I'm going to squash him I'm gonna do my thing and still baby”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Yair Rodríguez
“we're going to do a [ __ ] great job tomorrow night”
MMAWeekly.com picks Yair Rodríguez
“we're going to do a [ __ ] great job tomorrow night”
HP
Heavy P picks Alexander Volkanovski
“Brandon Moreno the great Alexander Volkanovski”
Heavy P picks Alexander Volkanovski
“Brandon Moreno the great Alexander Volkanovski”
MW
Making the Walk picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE
Making the Walk picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Alexander Volkanovski
“Alexander volkanovsky is the better fighter he's 34 years old he's still at his Peak Yair Rodríguez he looks phenomenal he has improved 30 years old he's he has been improving if anything so we'll see how far he's improved the only chance Yi Yair Rodríguez has is a head kick knockout of volkanovsky short of that he's going to lose this fight he's going to lose it on the ground he's going to lose it on the Striking with his hands he's only got one chance is that the only time Alexander volcanovski lost is a head kick and this is when he was just starting out nevertheless yeah Yair Rodríguez has that opportunity he is much taller so getting the his foot to volkanovsky's head is going to be easy so Alexander Alexander Volkanovski has to watch out for that I think everywhere else Alexander Alexander Volkanovski is going to be better I think besides the kicking volcanovski is going to be quicker with the Striking he's got I mean if we haven't seen already if he's managed to take Islam marketev down we know he's a good wrestler um so he doesn't like to wrestle he likes to strike but that fight showed you exactly how high level he could be that would be this great path to victory for Alexander volkanowski I can't see him getting submitted I mean uh Ortega had him in some deep submissions he got out of it yeah Yair Rodríguez is not at the level of um Ortega I think Yair Rodríguez got uh Emmett in a submission but I think Emmett was also hurt and he kind of fell into it anyways watch that fight it's like you know there's a lot of things playing into that but yeah Yair Rodríguez dominated that fight for sure he's a great fighter and then you know he yeah Yair Rodríguez lost against uh what's that um blessed um what's his name what's his name uh oh anyways his nickname is blast we we know who he is I just can't think of it right now anyways volkanovsky beat him uh well beat him three times some people say beat him twice some people say only beat him once but yeah ready to read Yair Rodríguez lost against blessed one time and last not only you know showed that the Striking was probably equivalent uh the ground game was definitely better and Yair Rodríguez ended up losing that decision volkonowski ended up uh winning beaten blast as well so I mean looking at um at those fights and the fights they fought I'm I mean evoking officer is going to be a high probability pick for me so volkanowski is going to be the pick”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Alexander Volkanovski
“Alexander volkanovsky is the better fighter he's 34 years old he's still at his Peak Yair Rodríguez he looks phenomenal he has improved 30 years old he's he has been improving if anything so we'll see how far he's improved the only chance Yi Yair Rodríguez has is a head kick knockout of volkanovsky short of that he's going to lose this fight he's going to lose it on the ground he's going to lose it on the Striking with his hands he's only got one chance is that the only time Alexander volcanovski lost is a head kick and this is when he was just starting out nevertheless yeah Yair Rodríguez has that opportunity he is much taller so getting the his foot to volkanovsky's head is going to be easy so Alexander Alexander Volkanovski has to watch out for that I think everywhere else Alexander Alexander Volkanovski is going to be better I think besides the kicking volcanovski is going to be quicker with the Striking he's got I mean if we haven't seen already if he's managed to take Islam marketev down we know he's a good wrestler um so he doesn't like to wrestle he likes to strike but that fight showed you exactly how high level he could be that would be this great path to victory for Alexander volkanowski I can't see him getting submitted I mean uh Ortega had him in some deep submissions he got out of it yeah Yair Rodríguez is not at the level of um Ortega I think Yair Rodríguez got uh Emmett in a submission but I think Emmett was also hurt and he kind of fell into it anyways watch that fight it's like you know there's a lot of things playing into that but yeah Yair Rodríguez dominated that fight for sure he's a great fighter and then you know he yeah Yair Rodríguez lost against uh what's that um blessed um what's his name what's his name uh oh anyways his nickname is blast we we know who he is I just can't think of it right now anyways volkanovsky beat him uh well beat him three times some people say beat him twice some people say only beat him once but yeah ready to read Yair Rodríguez lost against blessed one time and last not only you know showed that the Striking was probably equivalent uh the ground game was definitely better and Yair Rodríguez ended up losing that decision volkonowski ended up uh winning beaten blast as well so I mean looking at um at those fights and the fights they fought I'm I mean evoking officer is going to be a high probability pick for me so volkanowski is going to be the pick”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE
“Yair Rodríguez injured forced to pull out now we're getting getting Terence Terrence Mitchell a bit surprising”
Dynes Sports picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE
“Yair Rodríguez injured forced to pull out now we're getting getting Terence Terrence Mitchell a bit surprising”
FR
Fight Recap picks Alexander Volkanovski
“I'm taking Alexander volkanovski by a dominant decision and ... Alexander Volkanovski by a decision”
Fight Recap picks Alexander Volkanovski
“I'm taking Alexander volkanovski by a dominant decision and ... Alexander Volkanovski by a decision”
KU
Kunath picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE
“yair Rodriguez is by far my favorite play on the entire slate”
Kunath picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE
“yair Rodriguez is by far my favorite play on the entire slate”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Volkanovski27-4
W
Lopes
Feb '26
W
Lopes
Apr '25
L
Topuria
Feb '24
L
Makhachev
Oct '23
W
Rodríguez
Jul '23
Rodríguez16-5
W
Pitbull
Apr '25
L
Ortega
Feb '24
L
Volkanovski
Jul '23
W
Emmett
Feb '23
W
Ortega
Jul '22