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UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Basharat v Rodrigues Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus14 picks · conf 35/99
Basharat 12
2 Rodrigues
TMGUMD pick Basharat
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Basharat 14-0 VS 8-4 Rodrigues
5'8" height 5'5"
136 lb weight 135 lb
71" reach 67"
28 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.0 strikes landed / min 4.6
45% striking accuracy 57%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 2.3
64% striking defence 53%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
33% takedown accuracy 22%
58% takedown defence 53%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Farid Basharat VALUE “I expect him to get some takedowns here he averages quite a few of them with a good percentage and cleats and Rodriguez his takedown defense is not very good at all”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Kleydson Rodrigues “cleats and Rodriguez his takedown defense is not very good at all”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Farid Basharat VALUE “I think that basharat is going to win the fight” $1.27
WP We Want Picks picks Farid Basharat “Farid badgeratt unfortunately doesn't score very well so he's going to win this fight I'm very confident in him to win this fight”
DV Dissection Of Violence picks Farid Basharat VALUE “I'm gonna go with Farid Basharat here”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Farid Basharat “I'm picking him I'm picking them” $1.28
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Farid Basharat “Farid Basharat more than 2.5 takedowns”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kleydson Rodrigues “he's going against Kleydson Rodrigues who's coming up to bantamweight for the first time in his career”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Farid Basharat VALUE “I feel like Farid Basharat's probably one of the safer plays on the entire card”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Kleydson Rodrigues VALUE “I'd love to hear your thoughts because I'm feeling like a dog shot on cleton” $3.85
SD Santino DeFranco picks Farid Basharat “No direct quote, inferred from card list”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Farid Basharat “I'm more of a fan of Farid basharat so that's going to be my pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Basharat14-0
W Matsumoto Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Gutiérrez Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Hugo Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Lapilus Decision · R3 Jan '24
W Rodrigues Submission · R1 Sep '23
Rodrigues8-4
L Heili Decision · R3 May '24
L Basharat Submission · R1 Sep '23
W Ross KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
L Vergara Decision · R3 May '22