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UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Gane v Spivac Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus23 picks · conf 47/99
Gane 12
11 Spivac
HMGUDV pick Gane
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gane 13-2 VS 17-6 Spivac
6'4" height 6'3"
248 lb weight 251 lb
81" reach 78"
36 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 3.5
60% striking accuracy 49%
2.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
63% striking defence 50%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 4.6
21% takedown accuracy 65%
50% takedown defence 70%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Serghei Spivac “unfortunately I messed up with the main event I picked Spivak”
SP Sportshouse picks Ciryl Gane VALUE “Cyril Ciryl Ganeed to defeat Serghei Spivac I think Ciryl Gane will be able to use his striking and grappling to control the fight and get the victory”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Serghei Spivac “Serghei Spivac is gonna fail on takedowns in this fight and he's gonna crumble”
JA JackMMA picks Serghei Spivac “I'm gManon Fiorotna go with Serghei Spivac now look I know Ciryl Gane has really good movement that's like the big questiManon Fiorot mark for me however speed that has good grappling we know that you know obviously Ciryl Gane struggled with that especially in the JManon Fiorot JManon Fiorotes and Francis and ganu fight but it's also the way that he gets those takedowns with those hip tosses I think if this was a more traditiManon Fiorotal style wrestler I think Ciryl Gane might be able to handle it with you know working Manon Fiorot his wrestling but this short of time I'm just not sure I'm gManon Fiorotna go with Sergey Spivak I think by TKO and ground and pound”
WP We Want Picks picks Serghei Spivac VALUE “I personally think Serghei Spivac wins”
DV Dissection Of Violence picks Ciryl Gane VALUE “I'm gonna go with Ciryl Gane here”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Ciryl Gane “I'm going with Ciryl Gane in here man”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Serghei Spivac “I think that Serghei Spivac gets this fight down to the mat and and finishes Ciryl Gane”
CO Covers picks Serghei Spivac VALUE “that's right give me the dog I'm on speed back plus 140 five” $2.45
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Serghei Spivac VALUE “I'm more so on the uh the Serghei Spivac side for the price for the grappling upside”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ciryl Gane “I think on the feet it's going to be Ciryl Gane all day”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Serghei Spivac “Ciryl Ciryl Gane this week... he is unable to do film this week”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gane13-2
W Pereira KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Volkov Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Spivac KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
L Jones Submission · R1 Mar '23
W Tuivasa KO/TKO · R3 Sep '22
Spivac17-6
W Delija Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Almeida KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Tybura Submission · R1 Aug '24
L Gane KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23