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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Buckley v Morono Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus50 picks · conf 70/99
Buckley 26
24 Morono
BDTETW pick Buckley
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Buckley 21-7 VS 24-12 Morono
5'10" height 5'11"
171 lb weight 171 lb
76" reach 72"
32 age 35
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 5.0
36% striking accuracy 40%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
57% striking defence 57%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
46% takedown accuracy 25%
69% takedown defence 47%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LM Leftlane MMA picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “I will go with Joaquin Buckley though”
TM The MMA Minute picks Alex Morono VALUE “I was originally looking to fade Joaquin Buckley at the minus 170 number just because Joaquin Buckley is also pretty chinny”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alex Morono VALUE “I'm gonna pick him to win this fight outright and also for DFS purposes I'm going to be getting exposure to him” $2.50
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Joaquin Buckley “I'm picking Joaquin Joaquin Buckley to get the win” $1.57
AO Andrew Osantowski picks Joaquin Buckley “I'm going to side with Joaquin Buckley”
FI FightBookMMA picks Joaquin Buckley “I'm kind of leaning towards Alex Morono Alex Morono Morono”
FI FightBookMMA picks Alex Morono VALUE “I'm kind of leaning towards Alex Morono Alex Morono Morono” $2.65
BS BTS - Behind the Sports picks Joaquin Buckley “moving along to the EVENT_DETAILS between Wy new maner Buckley and Alex Morono [Music] Alex Morono [Music] [Applause] Joaquin Buckley versus Alex Morono”
MN Mayo Media Network picks Alex Morono VALUE “I'm going to roll with Alex Morono at 7.5k” $2.46
MN Mayo Media Network picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “playing Joaquin Buckley in tournaments is fine um at 8.7k you will need a knockout though” $1.59
TH TheMacLife picks Joaquin Buckley “[Applause] Joaquin Buckley versus Alex Morono co-main event is in a EVENT_DETAILS between Abdul Razak Alhassan and Joe body bags pip”
DG Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “I think Joaquin Buckley's a good bet this weekend and I will be batting him”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Buckley21-7
L Brady Decision · R3 May '26
L Usman Decision · R5 Jun '25
W Covington KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
W Thompson KO/TKO · R3 Oct '24
W Ruziboev Decision · R3 May '24
Morono24-12
L Donchenko Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Leal KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Price Decision · R3 Jun '24
W McGee Decision · R3 Apr '24