MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Grasso v Shevchenko Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus61 picks · conf 73/99
Grasso 34
27 Shevchenko
FMTLLB pick Grasso
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Grasso 16-5-1 VS 24-4-1 Shevchenko
5'5" height 5'5"
126 lb weight 124 lb
66" reach 67"
32 age 38
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.2 strikes landed / min 3.2
41% striking accuracy 52%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.0
58% striking defence 64%
0.4 takedowns / 15 min 2.7
40% takedown accuracy 64%
54% takedown defence 71%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DR DraftKings picks Alexa Grasso VALUE “Valentina Valentina Shevchenko minus 185 Alexa Grasso plus 154. yeah Rosso plus 600 the other dog back in March at UFC 285 shocked the world submitted Valentina Shevchenko to win the title came by fourth round face crank” $7.00
VA VampiricLegz picks Valentina Shevchenko “the bullet herself Valentina Shevchenko who crushes it as an all-new NPC”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Valentina Shevchenko VALUE “I'm going Valentina Shevchenko to chefchenko” $2.61
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Alexa Grasso VALUE “I'm going with my girl EVENT_DETAILSine” $4.00
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Alexa Grasso VALUE “I'm going with Alexa Grasso to win” $2.41
TP The False 9 Podcast picks Alexa Grasso “I am rooting for Alexa Grasso uh she's Mexican and then Valentina Shevchenko has been Champion for a long time and I mean maybe her time is done as Champion”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Valentina Shevchenko VALUE “tomorrow is a grand day and with all my heart power and spirit I will step in the battle we will do it together and thank you so much for your support thank you so much”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Alexa Grasso VALUE “we're going to give everything and we're going to come out with that belt again”
BF Bobby Bets Fights picks Alexa Grasso VALUE “I'm going with her as the underdog” $2.42
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Alexa Grasso “we're gonna give everything we're gonna come out with that belt again”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Valentina Shevchenko “tomorrow is the Grande and with all my heart power and spirit I don't step in the battle we will do it together”
FI FightBookMMA picks Alexa Grasso VALUE “I'm gonna go with Alexa Grasso Alexa Grasso Grasso winning” $2.35
Recent form last five, most recent first
Grasso16-5-1
W Barber KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Silva Decision · R3 May '25
L Shevchenko Decision · R5 Sep '24
W Shevchenko Submission · R4 Mar '23
W Araújo Decision · R5 Oct '22
Shevchenko24-4-1
W Weili Decision · R5 Nov '25
W Fiorot Decision · R5 May '25
W Grasso Decision · R5 Sep '24
L Grasso Submission · R4 Mar '23
W Santos Decision · R5 Jun '22