Choose a fight to analyse
MG
RF
Gamrot vs FizievMain Card · Lightweight
BM
DI
Mitchell vs IgeMain Card · Featherweight
MR
MW
Rodriguez vs Waterson-GomezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
BB
AF
Battle vs FletcherMain Card · Welterweight
CJ
RR
Jourdain vs RamosMain Card · Featherweight
DA
MJ
Argueta vs JohnsPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
TM
AF
Means vs FialhoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CB
JM
Brundage vs MalkounPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MU
JC
Usman vs CollierPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MI
HG
Inoue vs GoldyPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MR
TV
Rendon vs VidalPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
RF
Gamrot vs FizievMain Card · Lightweight
BM
DI
Mitchell vs IgeMain Card · Featherweight
MR
MW
Rodriguez vs Waterson-GomezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
BB
AF
Battle vs FletcherMain Card · Welterweight
CJ
RR
Jourdain vs RamosMain Card · Featherweight
DA
MJ
Argueta vs JohnsPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
TM
AF
Means vs FialhoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CB
JM
Brundage vs MalkounPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MU
JC
Usman vs CollierPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MI
HG
Inoue vs GoldyPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MR
TV
Rendon vs VidalPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Gamrot v Fiziev
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Gamrot 26-4
VS
13-5 Fiziev
5'10"
height
5'8"
156 lb
weight
155 lb
70"
reach
71"
35
age
33
Southpaw
stance
Switch
4.9
strikes landed / min
4.9
55%
striking accuracy
51%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
5.0
68%
striking defence
49%
1.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
44%
takedown accuracy
40%
89%
takedown defence
89%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE
“if I must pick a side I would go Rafael Fiziev Fiziev”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE
“I gotta go with Zaya for this one cut and dry KO”
FA
FanSwipr picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE
“I'm gonna play a safe Rafael Fiziev”
KA
Knuckle Sandwich with Brandon Anderson picks Rafael Fiziev
“so my pick for the EVENT_DETAILS in this weekend's EVENT_DETAILS is half azeeve over Mateusz Gamrot”
TH
TheGreyFaction picks Mateusz Gamrot
“we've got sixth ringed Rafael Fiziev taking on sevens right Mateusz Gamrot”
CO
Covers picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE
“give me Rafael Fiziev here and I think being able to get him at around -155 is good value”
$1.65
AO
Andrew Osantowski picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE
“I'm feeling more confident as the week goes on about Mateusz Gamrot I really do like Mateusz Gamrot it's a it's kind of like a Buy Low spot on them people aren't high on him after his after he eats out a decision over Jalen Turner so that's why people are kind of on the guy you know what I'm saying he got dropped in his last few fights but he recovers Rafael Fiziev he's coming off a split decision lost to just engage him we know Gage he's getting the next title shot um between the winner of makichev and aloe vera so you know people are looking at it it's not as man I'm high and Rafael Fiziev man I mean he knocked out those annuals and that was a fight that I thought dos anos had a pretty good chance in but um and I thought it was kind of 2-2 going into the fifth but um of that flight of Rafael Fiziev if I ended up getting dosanos out of there but yeah I mean this is Rafael Fiziev wants to keep it standing Mateusz Gamrot wants to keep her wrestling and I just think the value is on the on the wrestler here in Mateusz Gamrot”
BM
Blank Expression MMA picks Mateusz Gamrot
“I can see him just wearing on Rafael Fiziev over five rounds and getting the win that way”
BM
Blank Expression MMA picks Rafael Fiziev
“what I actually think will happen is it will be a close fight a matter of damage versus control and damage by the rules is more important plus with that takedown defense I reckon it will stay on the feet more so than not”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Rafael Fiziev
“I'm definitely single bedding Rafael Fiziev here I do think he's the better ... you got Rafael Fiziev I got Rafael Fiziev at the event you both got Rafael Fiziev”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Gamrot26-4
W
Ribovics
Apr '26
L
Oliveira
Oct '25
W
Klein
May '25
L
Hooker
Aug '24
W
Anjos
Mar '24
Fiziev13-5
W
Torres
Jun '26
L
Ruffy
Feb '26
W
Bahamondes
Jun '25
L
Gaethje
Mar '25
L
Gamrot
Sep '23