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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Taira v Hernandez Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus22 picks · conf 46/99
Taira 17
5 Hernandez
PP1TSM pick Taira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Taira 18-1 VS 10-5 Hernandez
5'7" height 5'8"
126 lb weight 126 lb
70" reach 67"
26 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 3.9
60% striking accuracy 45%
2.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
46% striking defence 50%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
44% takedown accuracy 21%
45% takedown defence 67%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Tatsuro Taira “these three Fighters are actually are definitely going to win I um it's Tatsuro Taira I think number one”
JP JP MMA PICKS picks Tatsuro Taira VALUE “I'm going to pick him to win by submission in round two”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Carlos Hernandez “I think the takedown defense is going to be an issue”
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Carlos Hernandez “I'll go with Tyra here”
KR Kasper Reacts picks Carlos Hernandez “definitely going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_3”
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Tatsuro Taira VALUE “I'm tatero Tatsuro Taira all day in this spot I don't I just don't see Carlos Hernandez as a threat”
MM Money Moicano picks Tatsuro Taira VALUE “I think Daniel Marcus is going to beat him”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tatsuro Taira “give me Tatsuro Taira to potentially find a submission on the map if it's not a submission he probably wins over 15 minutes right”
CL Clenbat picks Carlos Hernandez “I honestly think Carlos Hernandez is going to win this fight this dude is so underrated”
NM Nubby MMA picks Tatsuro Taira “I'm obviously going to go for Tatu Tyra here it's pretty obvious Carl Hernandez lost to alaso FAA by first round sub got absolutely destroyed if that isn't a bad sign enough what else do I need to proove I mean t is not terrible in the feet like Hernandez it's not like he's this power puncher that will come in like he's kind of a guy that wants to get his own way you know wants to get his own way in these fights wants to like have his own way of winning he had that against the how great performance last time against uh that [ __ ] Dennis bondar good win you know KO him late round koed him at the end let's be real I know they call it a technical decision but that was a KO um kind of like Ray as OSP I'm going to go for him though I think he'll get this one done I think he will get it done here um I think Tatsuro Taira gets it done”
PS Plays & Fades Sports picks Tatsuro Taira “we're going with Tatsuro Taira to stay undefeated here”
PR Premium-Picks picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE “I will be playing the dog here” $4.80
Recent form last five, most recent first
Taira18-1
L Van KO/TKO · R5 May '26
W Moreno KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Hyun-sung Submission · R2 Aug '25
L Royval Decision · R5 Oct '24
W Perez KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
Hernandez10-5
L Hyun-sung Submission · R1 May '25
W Tumendemberel Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Tsuruya Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Taira KO/TKO · R2 Dec '23
W Bondar Decision · R3 Jun '23