Choose a fight to analyse
SY
CG
Yadong vs GutiérrezMain Card · Bantamweight
KJ
AS
Rountree Jr. vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
NH
JM
Haqparast vs MullarkeyMain Card · Lightweight
TE
SM
Elliott vs MudaerjiMain Card · Bantamweight
AM
PJ
Muniz vs Jun-yongMain Card · Middleweight
KJ
SK
Jousset vs KenanPreliminary Card · Welterweight
PH
SR
Hyun-sung vs RossPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SG
MC
Garcia vs CostaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LS
SE
Santos vs EggerPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TT
CH
Taira vs HernandezPreliminary Card · Flyweight
TA
RS
Alencar vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CG
Yadong vs GutiérrezMain Card · Bantamweight
KJ
AS
Rountree Jr. vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
NH
JM
Haqparast vs MullarkeyMain Card · Lightweight
TE
SM
Elliott vs MudaerjiMain Card · Bantamweight
AM
PJ
Muniz vs Jun-yongMain Card · Middleweight
KJ
SK
Jousset vs KenanPreliminary Card · Welterweight
PH
Hyun-sung vs RossPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SG
MC
Garcia vs CostaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LS
SE
Santos vs EggerPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TT
CH
Taira vs HernandezPreliminary Card · Flyweight
TA
RS
Alencar vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Taira v Hernandez
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Taira 18-1
VS
10-5 Hernandez
5'7"
height
5'8"
126 lb
weight
126 lb
70"
reach
67"
26
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.0
strikes landed / min
3.9
60%
striking accuracy
45%
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
46%
striking defence
50%
2.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
44%
takedown accuracy
21%
45%
takedown defence
67%
1.6
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Tatsuro Taira
“these three Fighters are actually are definitely going to win I um it's Tatsuro Taira I think number one”
JP
JP MMA PICKS picks Tatsuro Taira VALUE
“I'm going to pick him to win by submission in round two”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Carlos Hernandez
“I think the takedown defense is going to be an issue”
UP
UFC Bro Picks picks Carlos Hernandez
“I'll go with Tyra here”
KR
Kasper Reacts picks Carlos Hernandez
“definitely going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_3”
BP
Boxing MMA Picks picks Tatsuro Taira VALUE
“I'm tatero Tatsuro Taira all day in this spot I don't I just don't see Carlos Hernandez as a threat”
MM
Money Moicano picks Tatsuro Taira VALUE
“I think Daniel Marcus is going to beat him”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tatsuro Taira
“give me Tatsuro Taira to potentially find a submission on the map if it's not a submission he probably wins over 15 minutes right”
CL
Clenbat picks Carlos Hernandez
“I honestly think Carlos Hernandez is going to win this fight this dude is so underrated”
NM
Nubby MMA picks Tatsuro Taira
“I'm obviously going to go for Tatu Tyra here it's pretty obvious Carl Hernandez lost to alaso FAA by first round sub got absolutely destroyed if that isn't a bad sign enough what else do I need to proove I mean t is not terrible in the feet like Hernandez it's not like he's this power puncher that will come in like he's kind of a guy that wants to get his own way you know wants to get his own way in these fights wants to like have his own way of winning he had that against the how great performance last time against uh that [ __ ] Dennis bondar good win you know KO him late round koed him at the end let's be real I know they call it a technical decision but that was a KO um kind of like Ray as OSP I'm going to go for him though I think he'll get this one done I think he will get it done here um I think Tatsuro Taira gets it done”
PS
Plays & Fades Sports picks Tatsuro Taira
“we're going with Tatsuro Taira to stay undefeated here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Taira18-1
L
Van
May '26
W
Moreno
Dec '25
W
Hyun-sung
Aug '25
L
Royval
Oct '24
W
Perez
Jun '24
Hernandez10-5
L
Hyun-sung
May '25
W
Tumendemberel
Nov '24
L
Tsuruya
Jun '24
L
Taira
Dec '23
W
Bondar
Jun '23