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UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutiérrez
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SY CG Yadong vs GutiérrezMain Card · Bantamweight KJ AS Rountree Jr. vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight NH JM Haqparast vs MullarkeyMain Card · Lightweight TE SM Elliott vs MudaerjiMain Card · Bantamweight AM PJ Muniz vs Jun-yongMain Card · Middleweight KJ SK Jousset vs KenanPreliminary Card · Welterweight PH SR Hyun-sung vs RossPreliminary Card · Flyweight SG MC Garcia vs CostaPreliminary Card · Lightweight LS SE Santos vs EggerPreliminary Card · Catchweight TT CH Taira vs HernandezPreliminary Card · Flyweight TA RS Alencar vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Rountree Jr. v Smith Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus30 picks · conf 54/99
Rountree Jr. 20
10 Smith
XAUPUS pick Rountree Jr.
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rountree Jr. 15-7 VS 38-20 Smith
6'1" height 6'4"
205 lb weight 206 lb
76" reach 76"
36 age 37
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.8 strikes landed / min 3.2
39% striking accuracy 49%
2.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
46% striking defence 46%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
40% takedown accuracy 26%
55% takedown defence 50%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TS The Fight Week Show picks Khalil Rountree Jr. “I'm going to go with K round three on this one”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Khalil Rountree Jr. “I'm going to go with K round three on this one”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Anthony Smith VALUE “I think Anthony Smith has been having a mental breakdown” $2.58
WP We Want Picks picks Khalil Rountree Jr. “I do think he beats Anthony Smith”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Anthony Smith VALUE “I am picking Anthony Anthony Smith... I'm picking Anthony Anthony Smith guys” $2.69
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Anthony Smith VALUE “both of us going with the dog and Anthony Smith”
AS AnyAction SportsCast picks Khalil Rountree Jr. “I am going to go with Kar around tree man” $1.50
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Anthony Smith “Anthony Anthony Smith does have a pth to Victory if Anthony Anthony Smith does get this fight down to the mat”
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Khalil Rountree Jr. VALUE “I think Khalil Rountree Jr. is gonna gonna go out there and hurt him pretty bad so I got Khalil Rountree Jr.”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Anthony Smith VALUE “Anthony Smith Anthony Smith he has 19 TKO wins and 14 submission wins... I feel like that is NOT_IN_ROSTER_2's weakness” $1.71
SH Sherdog.com picks Khalil Rountree Jr. “I'm going for khil rry and uh his price has moved... minus 240 uh as we speak um it's as I said it's moved around... K's fighting Anthony Smith” $1.42
KR Kasper Reacts picks Khalil Rountree Jr. “I with Khalil Rountree Jr. to win this one”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rountree Jr.15-7
L Procházka KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
W Hill Decision · R5 Jun '25
L Pereira KO/TKO · R4 Oct '24
W Smith KO/TKO · R3 Dec '23
W Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23
Smith38-20
L Mingyang KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
L Reyes KO/TKO · R2 Dec '24
L Dolidze Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Petrino Submission · R1 May '24
L Rountree Jr. KO/TKO · R3 Dec '23