MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Choose a fight to analyse
RN AR Namajunas vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight KW JT Williams vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight ES AD Shahbazyan vs DobsonMain Card · Middleweight PT CS Talbott vs SaaimanMain Card · Bantamweight YZ BQ Zalal vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight FP LP Padilla vs PajueloMain Card · Featherweight TO KH Ogden vs HolobaughPreliminary Card · Lightweight JE RR Erosa vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight MJ CG Johns vs GibsonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JE SN Errens vs NguyenPreliminary Card · Featherweight DZ MR Zheleznyakova vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AL IS Lima vs SeverinoPreliminary Card · Flyweight MP MU Parkin vs UsmanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Lima v Severino Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus34 picks · conf 57/99
Lima 23
11 Severino
LBS1MG pick Lima
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Lima 11-0 VS 8-1 Severino
5'7" height —
126 lb weight —
67" reach —
27 age 23
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 7.2
55% striking accuracy 52%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
57% striking defence 47%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 9.7
66% takedown accuracy 71%
73% takedown defence 50%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Igor Severino “go Igor Severino by decision”
MP MMA Prophecy picks André Lima VALUE “I'm fairly confident he'll get it done”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks André Lima “I'm going with André Lima”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks André Lima VALUE “it is currently André Lima Lima sitting in a minus 180 favorite” $1.56
WP We Want Picks picks André Lima VALUE “André Lima should win this fight he's going to be the pick”
TM The Ten7 MMA picks André Lima “I'm going Lima by decision Landing the bigger shot”
BM Broke Bets MMA picks André Lima “I like Li to win here”
EB ESPN BET picks Igor Severino VALUE “let's go Igor Severino”
FP Free Picks PickDawgz picks Igor Severino VALUE “give me Igor Severino I think he gets it done uh by decision in that one” $2.70
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Igor Severino “I think we see Igor Severino take this fight on the scorecards”
TM TY MMA picks André Lima “I think Andre Lima gets this one done”
NM Nubby MMA picks André Lima “I think André Lima is going to get it done”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Lima11-0
L Borjas Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Barez Submission · R3 Mar '25
W Santos Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Raposo Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Severino DQ · R2 Mar '24
Severino8-1
L Lima DQ · R2 Mar '24