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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rodrigues v Leroy Duncan
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rodrigues 18-6
VS
13-2 Leroy Duncan
6'3"
height
6'2"
186 lb
weight
185 lb
75"
reach
79"
34
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Switch
5.5
strikes landed / min
4.7
56%
striking accuracy
62%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.6
51%
striking defence
49%
2.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
41%
takedown accuracy
14%
100%
takedown defence
64%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
LS
Lil Stray picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“if I was to bet on this fight which I'm not yet uh I would go with Christian Leroy Duncan money line”
$1.70
Lil Stray picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“if I was to bet on this fight which I'm not yet uh I would go with Christian Leroy Duncan money line”
$1.70
⚔P
⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I'm going to lock it in with Gregory Gregory Rodrigues by decision uh I think he gets it done”
⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I'm going to lock it in with Gregory Gregory Rodrigues by decision uh I think he gets it done”
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Gregory Rodrigues
“we've got two title defenses”
Liam Picks Fights picks Gregory Rodrigues
“we've got two title defenses”
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Gregory Rodrigues
“Christian Leroy Duncan and Gregory Rodriguez this going to be a technical war going go with over 1.5 side call Gregory Rodrigues to win”
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Gregory Rodrigues
“Christian Leroy Duncan and Gregory Rodriguez this going to be a technical war going go with over 1.5 side call Gregory Rodrigues to win”
TP
The City Life Project picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I'm going Christian Leroy Duncan”
The City Life Project picks Gregory Rodrigues
“I'm going Christian Leroy Duncan”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“I'm going to go the favorite I'm going to pick flip last minute I'm going to go Christian Leroy Duncan”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“I'm going to go the favorite I'm going to pick flip last minute I'm going to go Christian Leroy Duncan”
PS
Plays & Fades Sports picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“we are taking the hometown guy in this match Gregory Rodrigues is no joke but I do think this line is Too Close For What anticipate to be a primary striking Affair”
Plays & Fades Sports picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“we are taking the hometown guy in this match Gregory Rodrigues is no joke but I do think this line is Too Close For What anticipate to be a primary striking Affair”
US
Uselyis picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I have Christian Leroy Duncan Leeroy Duncan to win this fight... minus 135”
$1.74
Uselyis picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I have Christian Leroy Duncan Leeroy Duncan to win this fight... minus 135”
$1.74
II
Ish 4 My Iggans™️ picks Gregory Rodrigues
“Gregory Rodrigues is a warrior and he's going to win”
Ish 4 My Iggans™️ picks Gregory Rodrigues
“Gregory Rodrigues is a warrior and he's going to win”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“if they strike it out I don't think the price is that wrong I'd maybe make Duncan 60% minus 150 in a pure striking fight”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“if they strike it out I don't think the price is that wrong I'd maybe make Duncan 60% minus 150 in a pure striking fight”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I like Rodriguez I just think he has more ways to win”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I like Rodriguez I just think he has more ways to win”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rodrigues18-6
W
Ferreira
Mar '26
W
Kopylov
Nov '25
W
Hermansson
Jun '25
L
Cannonier
Feb '25
W
Duncan
Jul '24
Leroy Duncan13-2
W
Dolidze
Mar '26
W
Tulio
Nov '25
W
Anders
Aug '25
W
Pulyaev
Mar '25
L
Rodrigues
Jul '24