MMA Prophecy
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UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Muhammad v Edwards Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus123 picks · conf 97/99
Muhammad 43
80 Edwards
MAPBhM pick Muhammad
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Muhammad 24-5 VS 22-5 Edwards
5'11" height 6'2"
171 lb weight 171 lb
72" reach 74"
37 age 34
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.5 strikes landed / min 3.9
47% striking accuracy 48%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.9
59% striking defence 60%
4.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
46% takedown accuracy 39%
77% takedown defence 73%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LS Lil Stray picks Leon Edwards VALUE “I'm going Leon Edwards”
⚔P ⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Leon Edwards “I got Leon Edwards by decision unanimous I'm going to say 5044 Leon Edwards lock that in too”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Leon Edwards VALUE $1.42
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Belal Muhammad VALUE $3.05
ID IDavidTheKing picks Belal Muhammad “UFC 5 somehow predicts Belal Muhammad head kick Ko's Leon Edwards”
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Belal Muhammad “Leon Edwards is defending against Belal Muhammad”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Belal Muhammad “Belal Muhammadukauskas versus Muhammad Mokaevarcin Prachnio fight starts round three I'm going to say Belal Muhammadow's decision”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Leon Edwards “G say Leon Edwards by decision Leon Edwards by decision”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Belal Muhammad VALUE “I think Belal Muhammad is going to be um he's a good upset I also think Curtis Blaydes I am picking Tom Aspinall spoiler alert I think Tom Aspinall and Belal Muhammad are the guys”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Leon Edwards VALUE “Leon Leon Edwards is minus 250” $1.40
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Belal Muhammad “we saw Belal Muhammad knock out Sean guys cuz Belal Muhammad's 36 Leon Edwards honest I know Belal Muhammad's like 10 fight Belal Muhammad's going to put up a decent fight he going to be Leon Edwards”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Leon Edwards “I'm gonna go Leon Edwards by knockout I said it”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Muhammad24-5
L Bonfim Decision · R5 Jun '26
L Garry Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Maddalena Decision · R5 May '25
W Edwards Decision · R5 Jul '24
W Burns Decision · R5 May '23
Edwards22-5
L Prates KO/TKO · R2 Nov '25
L Brady Submission · R4 Mar '25
L Muhammad Decision · R5 Jul '24
W Covington Decision · R5 Dec '23
W Usman Decision · R5 Mar '23