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Mingyang vs DiazMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Xiaonan vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Salikhov vs KenanMain Card · Welterweight
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WC
Fernandes vs CongMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Ulberg vs OezdemirMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Mingyang vs DiazMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Su-young vs JieleyisiPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Dong-hun vs SahotaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Ming vs XiaocanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Hernandez vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Kavanagh vs OchoaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Long vs LePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Motta vs HayisaerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mingyang v Diaz
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mingyang 19-7
VS
9-3 Diaz
6'2"
height
6'4"
205 lb
weight
185 lb
76"
reach
79"
27
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.1
strikes landed / min
2.2
37%
striking accuracy
43%
3.9
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
49%
striking defence
46%
0.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
49%
takedown accuracy
0%
65%
takedown defence
0%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“I'm gonna do Albert knock out round number one yep so it's gonna be like the two fights but it's gonna end in as a knockout now”
Capitán Rafucho picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“I'm gonna do Albert knock out round number one yep so it's gonna be like the two fights but it's gonna end in as a knockout now”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Zhang Mingyang
“Zhang Mingyang wins via first round KO”
MMA JOEY picks Zhang Mingyang
“Zhang Mingyang wins via first round KO”
TH
The Hardcore Hater picks Zhang Mingyang
“I'm going to take Zhang Mingyang in this one to show out for his home region crowd”
The Hardcore Hater picks Zhang Mingyang
“I'm going to take Zhang Mingyang in this one to show out for his home region crowd”
PP
Parlay Princes picks Zhang Mingyang
“I'm going Zhang Mingyang guys my picks are all the same basically”
Parlay Princes picks Zhang Mingyang
“I'm going Zhang Mingyang guys my picks are all the same basically”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“I think Ozzy Diaz is very live and if he wins it's going to come from an early knockout”
Mayo Media Network picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“I think Ozzy Diaz is very live and if he wins it's going to come from an early knockout”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE
“Zhang Mingyang manen is the first really good play on the Slate he's got finishing upside he wins all his fights pretty much round one round two KO pretty big favorite here plus 150 round one”
All-Star DFS picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE
“Zhang Mingyang manen is the first really good play on the Slate he's got finishing upside he wins all his fights pretty much round one round two KO pretty big favorite here plus 150 round one”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“Ozzy Diaz plus 300 money line plus 400 itd I think it's okay as a punt I would consider playing it in in mme”
All-Star DFS picks Ozzy Diaz VALUE
“Ozzy Diaz plus 300 money line plus 400 itd I think it's okay as a punt I would consider playing it in in mme”
CM
Coty MMA picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE
“the pick is Zhang Mingyang”
Coty MMA picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE
“the pick is Zhang Mingyang”
MC
McallenTYT picks Zhang Mingyang
“I'm going with Zhang Mingyang on this one I'm going with Zang mingyang”
McallenTYT picks Zhang Mingyang
“I'm going with Zhang Mingyang on this one I'm going with Zang mingyang”
PB
PROJECT BATTLEFIT picks Zhang Mingyang
“Zhang Mingyang is a brilliant Striker he's shown his power he's shown bonus skill he has been around the game he's fought a lot of amateur competitions he's made a mark even in the pros”
PROJECT BATTLEFIT picks Zhang Mingyang
“Zhang Mingyang is a brilliant Striker he's shown his power he's shown bonus skill he has been around the game he's fought a lot of amateur competitions he's made a mark even in the pros”
CO
ConquestMMA picks Zhang Mingyang
“yeah I'm going with Zang too this guy's a blob but light heavyweight and Zang mingyang isn't look at that square jaw you can't crack this guy”
ConquestMMA picks Zhang Mingyang
“yeah I'm going with Zang too this guy's a blob but light heavyweight and Zang mingyang isn't look at that square jaw you can't crack this guy”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mingyang19-7
L
Menifield
May '26
L
Walker
Aug '25
W
Smith
Apr '25
W
Diaz
Nov '24
W
Ribeiro
Feb '24
Diaz9-3
W
Santos
Mar '25
L
Mingyang
Nov '24