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UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
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PY DF Yan vs FigueiredoMain Card · Bantamweight YX TR Xiaonan vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MS SK Salikhov vs KenanMain Card · Welterweight GF WC Fernandes vs CongMain Card · Women'S Flyweight CU VO Ulberg vs OezdemirMain Card · Light Heavyweight ZM OD Mingyang vs DiazMain Card · Light Heavyweight YS BJ Su-young vs JieleyisiPreliminary Card · Bantamweight CD KS Dong-hun vs SahotaPreliminary Card · Flyweight SM FX Ming vs XiaocanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CH NT Hernandez vs TumendemberelPreliminary Card · Flyweight LK JO Kavanagh vs OchoaPreliminary Card · Flyweight XL QL Long vs LePreliminary Card · Bantamweight NM MH Motta vs HayisaerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Fernandes v Cong Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Fernandes 11
36 Cong
BMMARC pick Fernandes
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Fernandes 0-0 VS 8-1 Cong
5'6" height 5'6"
125 lb weight 125 lb
66" reach 67"
32 age 34
Southpaw stance Southpaw
3.5 strikes landed / min 5.8
46% striking accuracy 46%
5.5 strikes absorbed / min 1.6
49% striking defence 70%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
18% takedown accuracy 50%
60% takedown defence 100%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 2.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Gabriella Fernandes “Gabriel Fernandez gets it done via second round rear naked choke”
TA TakeDownTalks picks Wang Cong VALUE “the pick is Wong by knockout or decision”
ES etoft21 sports picks Gabriella Fernandes “give me Wang Cong by KO”
OJ Octagon Jordan picks Wang Cong “Wang Cong bang bang big Schon all day Gabriella Fernandes get [__] welcome to the Big Show CA you're done”
HM HorseBeef MMA picks Wang Cong “Wang Cong going to clean up the division and and and be given the title shot pretty soon uh she's an exciting prospect she she's one of the only exciting female prospects in the sport right now I know she's not a prospect Technically she's 32 years old but she's a prospect dude she has scary power in those hands for a female fighter it's nuts Wang Cong next up”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Wang Cong “es justo Wang Cong que va contra Gabriella Fernandes está menos 500 de favoritismo y no es para menos la tipa Invicta la tipa viene de un noca contundente... confío más en la victoria menos 500 de favoritismo” $1.20
AD All-Star DFS picks Gabriella Fernandes “Gabriella Fernandes I think is the first fighter I'm going to throw out uh just not winning often enough plus 600”
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Wang Cong “will Wang Cong continue to be the Joker that everyone fell in love with and after this should she win we absolutely get a top 15 opponent maybe even a top 10 opponent in her third UFC fight come 2025”
MC McallenTYT picks Wang Cong “I'm going Wayne Kong all the way I'm gonna have to set up parlate”
DO DonDaDa02 picks Wang Cong “I do expect her to win um well she get a KO h no I'm probably going to say she wins by decision”
PB PROJECT BATTLEFIT picks Wang Cong “but given that this fight is happening in China there would be a homeground advantage to Wang Cong so let's see how that turns out for them”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Wang Cong “Kong Wang gang for Life bro Wang Cong's nickname Joker she lives up to it” $1.12
Recent form last five, most recent first
Fernandes0-0
L O'Neill KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Stoliarenko Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Cong Submission · R2 Nov '24
W Judice Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Bledá Decision · R3 Jun '23
Cong8-1
W Moura Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Silva Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Brasil Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Fernandes Submission · R2 Nov '24
W Leonardo KO/TKO · R1 Aug '24