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UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ribeiro v Nurgozhay Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus41 picks · conf 62/99
Ribeiro 12
29 Nurgozhay
SMCEPC pick Ribeiro
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ribeiro 17-9 VS 10-2 Nurgozhay
6'3" height 6'2"
206 lb weight 205 lb
81" reach 74"
29 age 29
Orthodox stance Southpaw
3.6 strikes landed / min 2.5
54% striking accuracy 63%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
47% striking defence 52%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
55% takedown accuracy 68%
78% takedown defence 78%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Diyar Nurgozhay “Diyar Nurgozhay is going to be the pick”
FP Fight Night Picks picks Diyar Nurgozhay “sticking with Stephanie”
FP Fight Night Picks picks Brendson Ribeiro “I'm Still rocking with him for the pipe”
EM EXPERTO DE MMA picks Brendson Ribeiro VALUE “voy with el kazakstan ya”
CM Canal OSS - UFC, MMA, Lutas e mais... picks Brendson Ribeiro “StepYou Su-younganie Luciano estão pagando 1.4”
BS B ALL N Sports picks Brendson Ribeiro VALUE “I'm going with him to win the fight because I think Rivero even though he can get a little wild sometimes and I think it's to be one of those fights that uh is going to be closer than it's it the odds tell you so I think rero can do enough to get that maybe that steal that round there”
AD All-Star DFS picks Diyar Nurgozhay “I think he could he could potentially be a very strong leverage play”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Brendson Ribeiro VALUE “eu acho que o branson vence esse combate por decisão”
OM Ojae MMA picks Diyar Nurgozhay “I'm going to pick nuro to win this fight”
NO NoJonesMMA picks Diyar Nurgozhay “I'm taking Diyar Nurgozhayyar Nurgozhay”
PI PickemMMA picks Diyar Nurgozhay VALUE “Lima money line Diyar Nurgozhay money line Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos money line plus 263 for for L parlay”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Brendson Ribeiro “I'm picking Lima” $1.22
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ribeiro17-9
L Yakhyaev Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Sy KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
L Murzakanov KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Nurgozhay Submission · R2 Mar '25
W Machado Decision · R3 Nov '24
Nurgozhay10-2
W Tobias Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Satybaldiev Submission · R1 Aug '25
L Ribeiro Submission · R2 Mar '25