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UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hernandez v Holobaugh Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus60 picks · conf 73/99
Hernandez 24
36 Holobaugh
PBOETM pick Hernandez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hernandez 18-8 VS 22-10 Holobaugh
5'9" height 5'11"
155 lb weight 156 lb
72" reach 70"
33 age 39
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.6 strikes landed / min 4.6
49% striking accuracy 45%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
64% striking defence 47%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
52% takedown accuracy 33%
58% takedown defence 42%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FP Fight Night Picks picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE “I am going Kurt Holobaugh plus 172” $2.72
EM EXPERTO DE MMA picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE “voy with Kurt Holobaugh Holobaugh”
TG TGIS picks Kurt Holobaugh “the tgis pick is Kurt halibo”
BO Botmfeeder picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE “we're taking K Hall about all day here” $2.70
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE “yo me voy con Alexander Hernandez Quizás por decisión” $1.49
CM Canal OSS - UFC, MMA, Lutas e mais... picks Alexander Hernandez “Diyar NurgozYou Su-youngay entra with moral pagando simplesmente 1.28”
BS B ALL N Sports picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE “I'm going Hernandez in this one but again not not a bet on that one”
AD All-Star DFS picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE “I like Hernandez here”
WW Wages & Warriors picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE “for an underdog bet I think Kirk Hollow ball is the safer option”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE “I would take Kurt Holobaugh here at that plus 180 number” $2.80
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE “biggest bet of the night here on Kurt Holobaugh” $2.80
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Alexander Hernandez “Alexander Hernandez is always looking like the more shredded jacked up fighter but give me Halo there”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hernandez18-8
L García Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Ferreira KO/TKO · R2 Sep '25
W Hooper KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Holobaugh Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Hubbard Decision · R3 Oct '24
Holobaugh22-10
L Leavitt Submission · R1 May '25
L Hernandez Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Kruschewsky Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Ogden Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Hubbard Submission · R2 Aug '23