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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Henry v Falcão Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus59 picks · conf 72/99
Henry 40
19 Falcão
APSOFA pick Henry
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Henry 24-7 VS 16-4 Falcão
5'7" height 5'6"
135 lb weight 136 lb
68" reach 66"
39 age 33
Switch stance Orthodox
7.7 strikes landed / min 2.9
53% striking accuracy 48%
5.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
47% striking defence 48%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.1
36% takedown accuracy 22%
84% takedown defence 83%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Victor Henry VALUE “I can see a submission victory for Barbosza in this one.”
GM GLO MMA picks Pedro Falcão VALUE “Pedro Falcão didn't look yep, he Victor Henry's the better grappler to a decision.”
GM GLO MMA picks Victor Henry VALUE “Victor Henry decision.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Victor Henry VALUE “Victor Henry also doesn't shy away from grappling either... this is going to create more opportunity to get this to the mat where Pedro is more comfortable.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Pedro Falcão VALUE “Strong grappling brace, high level grappler... He's going to initiate grappling exchanges naturally and aggressively.”
GM GC MMA picks Victor Henry “I'm picking Victor Henry”
FM FATALITY MMA picks Victor Henry VALUE “I'm going to take Victor Victor Henry, I guess.”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Victor Henry VALUE “I do think Henry gets the win and my metrics show 60%.”
PP Parlay Princes picks Victor Henry “My pick is Victor Victor Henry.”
GM Green Bets MMA picks Victor Henry “So, Victor Henry, sure, I'll go with him, but not too confident.”
PS Plays & Fades Sports picks Victor Henry “I did end up picking Victor Victor Henry”
AD All-Star DFS picks Victor Henry “Victor Henry, I don't know if I'm willing to play this 8,800 striker.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Henry24-7
W Falcão Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Jourdain Submission · R2 Nov '24
W Yahya KO/TKO · R3 Apr '24
W Gravely Decision · R3 Mar '23
L Assunção Decision · R3 Oct '22
Falcão16-4
L Henry Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Hugo Decision · R3 Apr '24