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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Holland v Nelson
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Holland 28-15
VS
19-5-1 Nelson
6'3"
height
5'11"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
81"
reach
72"
33
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Switch
4.2
strikes landed / min
1.8
49%
striking accuracy
61%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
50%
striking defence
49%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
38%
takedown accuracy
59%
54%
takedown defence
66%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I picked Kevin Holland to win this fight”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Gunnar Nelson VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with Ghana Nelson.”
$1.82
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Gunnar Nelson
“I got Gunnar Nelson play I'm Gunnar Nelson by default”
SL
SUPER LUTAS picks Gunnar Nelson VALUE
“vitória do Gunnar Nelson contra o Kevin Holland”
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“Kevin Holland by knockout”
UF
Ultimate fight fan picks Gunnar Nelson
“backing Gunnar Nelson to beat Kevin Holland”
WP
We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I am going to pick Kevin hen in 2025”
TM
The Random Of MMA picks Gunnar Nelson
“I'm actually GNA go with Gunnar Gunnar Nelson by decision or I better yet maybe even a submission”
MM
Money Mitch MMA picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I'm choosing Kevin Holland to win”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“Kevin Holland will do it.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Holland28-15
W
Brown
Apr '26
L
Malott
Oct '25
L
Rodriguez
Jul '25
W
Luque
Jun '25
W
Nelson
Mar '25
Nelson19-5-1
L
Holland
Mar '25
W
Barberena
Mar '23
W
Sato
Mar '22
L
Burns
Sep '19
L
Edwards
Mar '19