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UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Holland v Nelson Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus66 picks · conf 74/99
Holland 41
25 Nelson
eP9DBM pick Holland
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Holland 28-15 VS 19-5-1 Nelson
6'3" height 5'11"
170 lb weight 170 lb
81" reach 72"
33 age 37
Orthodox stance Switch
4.2 strikes landed / min 1.8
49% striking accuracy 61%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
50% striking defence 49%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
38% takedown accuracy 59%
54% takedown defence 66%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I picked Kevin Holland to win this fight”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Gunnar Nelson VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Ghana Nelson.” $1.82
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Gunnar Nelson “I got Gunnar Nelson play I'm Gunnar Nelson by default”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I'm going to pick Kevin Kevin Holland by knockout” $1.94
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Gunnar Nelson VALUE “vitória do Gunnar Nelson contra o Kevin Holland”
UG UFC Genie picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I've got two and a half units on the money line” $2.10
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Kevin Holland VALUE “Kevin Holland by knockout”
UF Ultimate fight fan picks Gunnar Nelson “backing Gunnar Nelson to beat Kevin Holland”
WP We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I am going to pick Kevin hen in 2025”
TM The Random Of MMA picks Gunnar Nelson “I'm actually GNA go with Gunnar Gunnar Nelson by decision or I better yet maybe even a submission”
MM Money Mitch MMA picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I'm choosing Kevin Holland to win”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kevin Holland VALUE “Kevin Holland will do it.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Holland28-15
W Brown Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Malott Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Luque Submission · R2 Jun '25
W Nelson Decision · R3 Mar '25
Nelson19-5-1
L Holland Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Barberena Submission · R1 Mar '23
W Sato Decision · R3 Mar '22
L Burns Decision · R3 Sep '19
L Edwards Decision · R3 Mar '19