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Brady vs EdwardsMain Card · Welterweight
CU
JB
Ulberg vs BłachowiczMain Card · Light Heavyweight
KH
GN
Holland vs NelsonMain Card · Welterweight
AT
MM
Thainara vs McCannMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
CD
JV
Duncan vs VucenicMain Card · Lightweight
NW
MC
Wood vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
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JH
Padilla vs HerbertPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LK
FS
Kavanagh vs SantosPreliminary Card · Flyweight
MT
MP
Tybura vs ParkinPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CD
AP
Duncan vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight
SB
PT
Bannon vs TomarPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CL
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Loughran vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ulberg v Błachowicz
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ulberg 14-1
VS
29-10-1 Błachowicz
6'4"
height
—
205 lb
weight
—
77"
reach
—
35
age
43
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.5
strikes landed / min
3.4
63%
striking accuracy
50%
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
64%
striking defence
53%
2.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
71%
takedown accuracy
50%
77%
takedown defence
68%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Jan Błachowicz VALUE
“Jan pressured forward ulberg would land like a striker two dance around”
We Want Picks picks Jan Błachowicz VALUE
“Jan pressured forward ulberg would land like a striker two dance around”
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“Carlos Ulberg continues the longest active win streak at 205”
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“Carlos Ulberg continues the longest active win streak at 205”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“the new prediction strategy says Carlos Ulberg is 100% going to win.”
$1.33
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“the new prediction strategy says Carlos Ulberg is 100% going to win.”
$1.33
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Jan Błachowicz
“yeah I'm all over the Jan Błachowicz blakovich”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Jan Błachowicz
“yeah I'm all over the Jan Błachowicz blakovich”
TF
TNT Sports Football picks Jan Błachowicz
“it's got to be Jan Błachowicz. And of course, it has. Yeah. I mean, it's it ends in a very violent way, doesn't it? Yeah. It's it's it's it's my favorite fight on the card.”
TNT Sports Football picks Jan Błachowicz
“it's got to be Jan Błachowicz. And of course, it has. Yeah. I mean, it's it ends in a very violent way, doesn't it? Yeah. It's it's it's it's my favorite fight on the card.”
WM
Wade MMA picks Carlos Ulberg
“I'm going yanovich via decision”
Wade MMA picks Carlos Ulberg
“I'm going yanovich via decision”
MB
MMA BG picks Carlos Ulberg
“my prediction is Carlos Olberg decision”
MMA BG picks Carlos Ulberg
“my prediction is Carlos Olberg decision”
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Carlos Ulberg
“the simulations have Carlos Ulberg Ulberg coming out on top winning three out of five simulations with three simulation victories by decision”
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Carlos Ulberg
“the simulations have Carlos Ulberg Ulberg coming out on top winning three out of five simulations with three simulation victories by decision”
CO
Covers picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I think Carlos Carlos Ulberg's going to win.”
Covers picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I think Carlos Carlos Ulberg's going to win.”
UF
Ultimate fight fan picks Jan Błachowicz
“Yan blov will beat kosberg”
Ultimate fight fan picks Jan Błachowicz
“Yan blov will beat kosberg”
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I got to go Carlos ubber here”
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“I got to go Carlos ubber here”
FU
FunkMasterMMA picks Carlos Ulberg
“I do think there's something to be said about the guy who's been more active, possibly more hungry, younger, upcoming lion. He has momentum on the side. That's a hard guy to beat.”
FunkMasterMMA picks Carlos Ulberg
“I do think there's something to be said about the guy who's been more active, possibly more hungry, younger, upcoming lion. He has momentum on the side. That's a hard guy to beat.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ulberg14-1
W
Procházka
Apr '26
W
Reyes
Sep '25
W
Błachowicz
Mar '25
W
Oezdemir
Nov '24
W
Menifield
May '24
Błachowicz29-10-1
L
Ulberg
Mar '25
L
Pereira
Jul '23
W
Rakić
May '22
L
Teixeira
Oct '21
W
Adesanya
Mar '21