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Almakhan vs KatonaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Maddalena vs MuhammadMain Card · Welterweight
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Shevchenko vs FiorotMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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JA
Zahabi vs AldoMain Card · Featherweight
NS
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Silva vs GrassoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
BD
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Denis vs PrepolecMain Card · Lightweight
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Malott vs RadtkePreliminary Card · Welterweight
JJ
JA
Jasudavicius vs AndradePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Bukauskas vs CuțelabaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Stirling vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MB
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Barriault vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Santos vs Jeong-yeongEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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Almakhan vs KatonaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Almakhan v Katona
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Almakhan 12-3
VS
16-4 Katona
5'7"
height
5'6"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
68"
reach
65"
28
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
0.2
strikes landed / min
4.8
18%
striking accuracy
52%
4.5
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
30%
striking defence
50%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
0%
takedown accuracy
34%
0%
takedown defence
61%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Brad Katona VALUE
“a minha expectativa é uma vitória do Catona por decisão”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Brad Katona VALUE
“a minha expectativa é uma vitória do Catona por decisão”
MP
MMA Brothers Podcast picks Bekzat Almakhan VALUE
“I picked this one. Money line. Um, Bekzat Almakhan.”
MMA Brothers Podcast picks Bekzat Almakhan VALUE
“I picked this one. Money line. Um, Bekzat Almakhan.”
PM
Pyraxy MMA picks Bekzat Almakhan
“I got Bekzat Almakhan. I'm not picking a Canadian fella.”
Pyraxy MMA picks Bekzat Almakhan
“I got Bekzat Almakhan. I'm not picking a Canadian fella.”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brad Katona VALUE
“I have 1.25 units on Brag Katona at plus 160. ... I like the dog shot on Brad Katona taking it for 1.25 units at plus 160.”
$2.60
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brad Katona VALUE
“I have 1.25 units on Brag Katona at plus 160. ... I like the dog shot on Brad Katona taking it for 1.25 units at plus 160.”
$2.60
TD
The DubCast picks Brad Katona
“so I'm against Bekzat Almakhan.”
The DubCast picks Brad Katona
“so I'm against Bekzat Almakhan.”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Bekzat Almakhan VALUE
“Yeah, I would go for Alamar Alamar. It's Scotland back. It's gone back. So, yeah, I think he's competitive. Very competitive. Turner's going to fight for your money, but it's tough tough to trust him. Tough to trust him. Yeah, go for go for Begs. He's 27. He's good. He does some bad stuff, but yeah, he's good. So, he probably wins a minor CV, but yeah, that's where I'm at. money line like minus 141 best price.”
$1.71
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Bekzat Almakhan VALUE
“Yeah, I would go for Alamar Alamar. It's Scotland back. It's gone back. So, yeah, I think he's competitive. Very competitive. Turner's going to fight for your money, but it's tough tough to trust him. Tough to trust him. Yeah, go for go for Begs. He's 27. He's good. He does some bad stuff, but yeah, he's good. So, he probably wins a minor CV, but yeah, that's where I'm at. money line like minus 141 best price.”
$1.71
SP
SpeedBets picks Bekzat Almakhan VALUE
“give me back out to win this fight. 2928 on the cards.”
SpeedBets picks Bekzat Almakhan VALUE
“give me back out to win this fight. 2928 on the cards.”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Bekzat Almakhan
“so my subscribers and I are going with Bekzat Almakhan.”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Bekzat Almakhan
“so my subscribers and I are going with Bekzat Almakhan.”
SP
SportsLine picks Bekzat Almakhan VALUE
“Bekzat Almakhan on the money line at guilty of underestimating Brad Katona”
SportsLine picks Bekzat Almakhan VALUE
“Bekzat Almakhan on the money line at guilty of underestimating Brad Katona”
LO
LorenzoPredicts picks Brad Katona VALUE
“Brad Kona. Brad Katona wins. He wins... Brad Katona beats Bekzat Almakhan and he does it by decision as well.”
LorenzoPredicts picks Brad Katona VALUE
“Brad Kona. Brad Katona wins. He wins... Brad Katona beats Bekzat Almakhan and he does it by decision as well.”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Brad Katona VALUE
“Brad Katona Katona's good, man. You you guys like hate on Brad Katona Katona and I I get it. Like he's boring. He's a little bit of a freak, you know? You better check his hard drive. He's got some [ __ ] on there. But man, he's a good fighter. He really”
$2.36
Santino DeFranco picks Brad Katona VALUE
“Brad Katona Katona's good, man. You you guys like hate on Brad Katona Katona and I I get it. Like he's boring. He's a little bit of a freak, you know? You better check his hard drive. He's got some [ __ ] on there. But man, he's a good fighter. He really”
$2.36
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Almakhan12-3
L
Matsumoto
Jun '26
L
Topuria
Nov '25
W
Katona
May '25
L
Nurmagomedov
Mar '24
Katona16-4
L
Almakhan
May '25
L
Matsumoto
Oct '24
W
Butler
Jun '24
L
Armfield
Jan '24
W
Gibson
Aug '23