Natália Silva vs Alexa Grasso · Fight IQ

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena

Choose a fight to analyse

Maddalena vs MuhammadMain Card · Welterweight VS

Shevchenko vs FiorotMain Card · Women'S Flyweight AZ

Zahabi vs AldoMain Card · Featherweight NS

Silva vs GrassoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight BD

Denis vs PrepolecMain Card · Lightweight MM

Malott vs RadtkePreliminary Card · Welterweight JJ

Jasudavicius vs AndradePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight MB

Bukauskas vs CuțelabaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight NS

Stirling vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MB

Barriault vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight DS

Santos vs Jeong-yeongEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight BA

Almakhan vs KatonaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight

BEST PRICE Prophecy read Silva v Grasso Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side

The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →

New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker

Consensus116 picks · conf 93/99

Silva 67

49 Grasso

pick Silva

Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side

Silva 19-5-1 VS 16-5-1 Grasso

5'4" height 5'5"

126 lb weight 126 lb

65" reach 66"

29 age 32

Southpaw stance Orthodox

5.2 strikes landed / min 4.2

47% striking accuracy 41%

2.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.7

64% striking defence 58%

0.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.4

25% takedown accuracy 40%

91% takedown defence 54%

0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.7

The model read

Deep research · camps & rumours

AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.

What the numbers say

Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.

Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →

Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight

Capper Comparison Picks picks Natália Silva “I'm on Natália Silva here.”

The Rambling Dad picks Natália Silva VALUE “going to go with Natália Silva”

The Rambling Dad picks Alexa Grasso VALUE “Alexa Grasso she did against Valentina Shevchenko Bullet Chenko”

CBS Sports picks Alexa Grasso VALUE “At these odds, I think I like Alexa Grasso... I'm going to give you a little safer way to wager this. shop around for spreads in the UFC. I like Alexa Grasso plus three and a half.” $3.10

ColdSunday picks Alexa Grasso “Oh, Ben Los Angeles is going to win that. Alexa Grasso versus Natalyia Silva. I think that Alexa Grasso, her striking is too adaptable...”

BunkyMMA picks Natália Silva “I'm riding with Natalyia Silva.” $1.40

Mahkaveli picks Natália Silva “I think Natália Silva's going to get it done solely because she's younger, she's a bit more consistent in her performances.”