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Ridder vs NickalMain Card · Middleweight
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Rodriguez vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight
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Sidey vs SmothermanMain Card · Bantamweight
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Jones vs StephensMain Card · Lightweight
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Santos vs TatePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Bekoev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Petersen v Mayes
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Petersen 10-4
VS
11-7 Mayes
6'1"
height
6'6"
246 lb
weight
260 lb
74"
reach
81"
31
age
34
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.6
strikes landed / min
3.5
55%
striking accuracy
43%
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
54%
striking defence
46%
2.1
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
36%
takedown accuracy
38%
78%
takedown defence
58%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Thomas Petersen
“It does happen a lot. Thomas Petersen decision in the heavyweights”
$1.31
SL
SUPER LUTAS picks Thomas Petersen
“eu vejo o Thomas Petersen vencendo o Don'Tale Mayes”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Thomas Petersen VALUE
“Eu acho que a Thomas Petersen vai entrar pro jogo de queda... vai sair com a vitória”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Thomas Petersen
“I'll say Thomas Petersen finds a way to win this fight. And uh I favor Thomas Peterson maybe on a decision.”
$1.33
CZ
Czaleo picks Thomas Petersen
“going to go with Thomas Petersen Petersen. gonna say it's a decision”
LE
LemonMMA picks Thomas Petersen
“I just think Thomas Petersen Petersen's just better than Don'Tale Mayes.”
IM
IMIGHTBEWRONG MMA picks Don'Tale Mayes VALUE
“I'm going to go Dantel May. I'm going to go Don'Tale Mayes.”
KM
KZ MMA picks Thomas Petersen
“official pick is going to be Thomas Petersen.”
RP
Rparqs picks Thomas Petersen
“I've got Thomas Petersen minus 260. Any anybody who can wrestle versus Dantel Maize is probably going to win.”
$1.38
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Don'Tale Mayes
“Don'Tale Mayes takes on Thomas Petersen”
WP
We Want Picks picks Thomas Petersen
“the reality is Thomas Petersen Petersen should win this fight.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Petersen10-4
W
Pat
Apr '26
L
Petrino
Oct '25
W
Mayes
May '25
L
Gaziev
Feb '25
W
Usman
Jul '24
Mayes11-7
L
Petersen
May '25
L
Walker
Feb '25
L
Gaziev
Aug '24
W
Machado
Apr '24
L
Nascimento
Nov '23