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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Petersen v Mayes Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus55 picks · conf 71/99
Petersen 40
15 Mayes
TbTBEJ pick Petersen
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Petersen 10-4 VS 11-7 Mayes
6'1" height 6'6"
246 lb weight 260 lb
74" reach 81"
31 age 34
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 3.5
55% striking accuracy 43%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
54% striking defence 46%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
36% takedown accuracy 38%
78% takedown defence 58%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Thomas Petersen VALUE $1.34
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Thomas Petersen “It does happen a lot. Thomas Petersen decision in the heavyweights” $1.31
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Thomas Petersen “eu vejo o Thomas Petersen vencendo o Don'Tale Mayes”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Thomas Petersen VALUE “Eu acho que a Thomas Petersen vai entrar pro jogo de queda... vai sair com a vitória”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Thomas Petersen “I'll say Thomas Petersen finds a way to win this fight. And uh I favor Thomas Peterson maybe on a decision.” $1.33
CZ Czaleo picks Thomas Petersen “going to go with Thomas Petersen Petersen. gonna say it's a decision”
LE LemonMMA picks Thomas Petersen “I just think Thomas Petersen Petersen's just better than Don'Tale Mayes.”
IM IMIGHTBEWRONG MMA picks Don'Tale Mayes VALUE “I'm going to go Dantel May. I'm going to go Don'Tale Mayes.”
KM KZ MMA picks Thomas Petersen “official pick is going to be Thomas Petersen.”
RP Rparqs picks Thomas Petersen “I've got Thomas Petersen minus 260. Any anybody who can wrestle versus Dantel Maize is probably going to win.” $1.38
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Don'Tale Mayes “Don'Tale Mayes takes on Thomas Petersen”
WP We Want Picks picks Thomas Petersen “the reality is Thomas Petersen Petersen should win this fight.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Petersen10-4
W Pat Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Petrino KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
W Mayes Decision · R3 May '25
L Gaziev KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
W Usman Decision · R3 Jul '24
Mayes11-7
L Petersen Decision · R3 May '25
L Walker Submission · R1 Feb '25
L Gaziev Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Machado Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Nascimento Decision · R3 Nov '23