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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pennington v Pinheiro Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus57 picks · conf 72/99
Pennington 42
15 Pinheiro
MOCCTM pick Pennington
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pennington 14-7 VS 11-4 Pinheiro
5'1" height 5'2"
114 lb weight 115 lb
61" reach 63"
36 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.8 strikes landed / min 3.4
47% striking accuracy 40%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
61% striking defence 61%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
14% takedown accuracy 33%
63% takedown defence 69%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CN Correlation Nation picks Luana Pinheiro VALUE “I'm going to take Luana Pinheiro... I think that Luana Pinheiro can win this fight.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Tecia Pennington “I'm going to go right there with Tecia Pennington.”
MR MMA ROACH picks Tecia Pennington “I'm going with Tecia Pennington. She's a good fighter.”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Tecia Pennington VALUE $1.31
MW Making the Walk picks Tecia Pennington VALUE $1.31
JN JNapsMMAshorts picks Tecia Pennington “I got Tecia Pennington.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Tecia Pennington “My pick throughout the week has been Tecia Pennington to win.” $1.30
BE BetSam picks Luana Pinheiro VALUE “that's why I think Luana Pedo is absolutely live.”
BE BetSam picks Tecia Pennington “Tisha Torres, Tecia Pennington, whatever you want to call her. Listen, I just think the odds are wide here.”
P® Pro Schmo BETS ® picks Tecia Pennington VALUE “I'd like to see Tesa Pennington pull this off. Tecia Pennington is ranked, but believe it or not, if Lana Pinero wins this fight, she's getting uh higher on the rankings.”
CM Coty MMA picks Tecia Pennington VALUE “give me Tecia Pennington by decision”
MT MMA TODAY picks Luana Pinheiro “I'm going to go with the with the with steak and I and I think Luana Santos might win.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pennington14-7
L Gomes Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Pinheiro Decision · R3 May '25
W Esparza Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Ricci Decision · R3 May '24
Pinheiro11-4
L Pennington Decision · R3 May '25
L Robertson Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Hill Submission · R2 May '24
L Ribas KO/TKO · R3 Nov '23
W Waterson-Gomez Decision · R3 Apr '23