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Cuțelaba vs StirlingMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Fili vs OliveiraMain Card · Featherweight
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Amil vs RodriguezMain Card · Featherweight
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Lima vs BorjasPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Baghdasaryan vs MagomedovMain Card · Featherweight
BM
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Mesquita vs MullinsPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Nascimento vs RaposoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Bolaños vs Aswell Jr.Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Bolaños v Aswell Jr.
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Bolaños 8-5
VS
0-0 Aswell Jr.
5'7"
height
—
145 lb
weight
—
69"
reach
—
33
age
—
Orthodox
stance
—
3.7
strikes landed / min
—
50%
striking accuracy
—
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
—
52%
striking defence
—
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
—
100%
takedown accuracy
—
42%
takedown defence
—
0.0
submissions / 15 min
—
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RS
Round 3: Prediction Show picks Michael Aswell Jr. VALUE
“the value I like in this fight is Michael Aswell Jr. by decision at a plus 115”
$2.15
SS
Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“give me Michael Aswell Jr. by either a round one or a round two uh knockout here.”
SS
Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Gastón Bolaños
“give me as by unanimous decision.”
YA
YapMMA picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“I'm still going to pick Michael Aswell Jr. because I do think he's much more skilled.”
TM
Tap That MMA picks Gastón Bolaños
“I had to take Geston Banos um at that part.”
TM
Tap That MMA picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“if you're going to go Michael Aswell Jr. specifically, I'd go by decision.”
MT
MMA Tugg picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“Michael Aswell Jr., this is your moment. Stamp forward, get a knockout, and tell the UFC you belong. Show us you belong, Michael Aswell Jr. Avoid the spinning attacks, all the flashy nonsense from Gastón Bolaños. Get in his face, put him on the back foot, get him up against the cage, AND START TEEING IT OFF. Michael Aswell Jr. is not losing this fight. I'm not going to let it happen.”
TP
Touch 'Em Up Podcast picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“Give me Michael Aswell Jr. to win. And Michael Aswell Jr. win by a second round knockout/TKO over Gastón Bolaños.”
TP
The Franchise Player picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“I'm going to go Michael Aswell Jr. here.”
WP
We Want Picks picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“I do think Michael wins.”
SQ
SqimpMMA picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“I'm going to go with a 29-28 Michael Aswell Jr. decision.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Bolaños8-5
W
Aswell Jr.
Jun '26
L
Le
May '25
W
Romious
Nov '24
L
McGhee
Jan '24
W
Phillips
Apr '23
Aswell Jr.0-0
L
Bolaños
Jun '26
L
Riley
Mar '26